Unraveling the paradox at the heart of Presence

The last fifteen minutes of Steven Soderbergh’s new film Presence do not live up to their cathartic potential. Up to this anticlimactic finale, the supernatural family drama promises a lot—its story gets progressively tenser through an increasingly charged conflict between the Presence, a spirit that dwells in an unoccupied suburban house, and the Paynes, a troubled family of four who move into the house and become tormented by the Presence. 

The spirit is the movie’s viewpoint character, which is an ingenious twist on the haunted house genre. Since we witness the world from the Presence’s point of view, we develop a keen curiosity for its sinister actions. Why does it grow violently protective of Chloe, the younger daughter grieving the mysterious death of her friend Nadia? Is it going to hurt Tyler, the douchebag brother who dismisses Chloe’s feelings? Why doesn’t it like Ryan, Tyler’s fratty emo friend who’s interested in Chloe? Does it know something we don’t about the fractured relationship between Rebekah and Chris, the frigid mother and the sensitive father? All thrilling questions—only sort of answered by the time the movie wraps up. 

Here’s where things go sideways. After Rebekah and Chris leave for a business trip, Ryan comes to the house and drugs both Tyler and Chloe and then tries to kill Chloe. The Presence wakes up drugged Tyler, who then runs to Chloe’s room and tackles Ryan, but this climactic battle is over before it even starts, because both Tyler and Ryan fall through Chloe’s bedroom window and die. The grieving Paynes decide to move out after this incident. In the last scene, the Presence reveals itself in the mirror to Rebekah, who breaks down once she realizes that the Presence is actually the ghost of dead Tyler, who was not able to leave this world until he saved Chloe from Ryan. 

The scene is meant to be a gratifying revelation but in this alleged catharsis lurks a loop that breaks the brain. Namely, Tyler’s ghost comes to life after Tyler saves Chloe, but Tyler saves Chloe only after Tyler’s ghost tells him to, which means Tyler’s ghost must come to life before Tyler saves Chloe. It’s a bootstrap paradox that falls short not because it’s an illegitimate plot device but because it’s an ineffective way to create emotional payoff. It sells us a resolution in which the effect precedes the cause, in which we’re supposed to retroactively grow to care for the alive douchebag Tyler after we get swept off our feet by the dead remorseful Tyler.

To paper over this tortuous logic, the movie introduces the oracle archetype: Lisa, a medium who visits the Paynes and confirms that some sort of spirit is in the house. She tells the family that “[time] doesn’t work the same way for [the Presence]. Past, present can be happening at the same time, so it doesn’t even know when it is.” 

The idea here, it seems, is that we accept nonlinear time as an explanation and just go with it, because we did the same for many other movies which distorted our perception of time, like Denis Villeneuve’s Arrival. But this analogy is not quite right. In Arrival, Louise Banks sees that time is circular once she learns the palindromic language of the heptapods, but she never time travels to affect the course of her actions. The causality is never broken; it’s in fact upheld.  

There also seems to be a faint influence of the multiverse theory in Tyler’s character arc. Perhaps the Presence has come from another universe, not the future (though the future is curiously absent from Lisa’s explanation)? If that’s the case, is Tyler’s ghost then from a universe in which Chloe died and in which Tyler spent the rest of his life without a sister and is therefore trying to prevent that outcome in this universe? Sure, that’s a fine explanation, but then Tyler can’t “[come] back to save [Chloe]”—which is what Rebekah says when she realizes the Presence is the ghost of Tyler—because the other Tyler was never in this universe to begin with. 

Maybe this all sounds fastidious, so let’s ignore the vexing time warp for a moment. Inconsistencies still abound. Why does Chloe, who clearly feels and acknowledges the Presence, not heed its blatantly obvious warnings about Ryan? Why can the Presence furiously shake Tyler’s room and neatly arrange Chloe’s books but can’t do anything to Ryan when he drugs Chloe? Why does Chris—the attuned and loving father who believes Chloe when she says the Presence is in the house—go on a business trip with Rebekah and leave the kids alone with the ominous spirit? 

None of these plot holes are unsolvable, but they require more airtime—time for timelines to disentangle and motivations to unravel. Presence, for some reason, insists on not giving that coverage. It compresses a story that could have breathed as a multi-episode series into an unapologetically compact film with a brisk eighty-five-minute runtime. What the movie leaves us with, in the end, are desultory answers to questions that clamor for discipline and precision. 

What’s so scary about airplane turbulence anyway?

I don’t remember the first time airplane turbulence freaked me out, but I remember the day it turned into a nightmare, when it was no longer an unlikely event but a monster of tangible power and wickedness. The date was Oct 14, 2019, and I was on jetBlue flight B6 1715, flying from New York to San Francisco. The plane took off at 21:44 UTC-05:00 amid a heavy storm, and shortly after the city became a glistening dot in the darkness beneath us, violent blows began to thrust the plane. 

I had never felt such a force from the skies. Initially, a few people—including me—were on high alert, but most passengers appeared unworried, some even amused by the rollercoaster ride. Suddenly, seemingly in a split second, our Airbus 321 aircraft was getting thrown in every direction possible. Up and down, left and right, clockwise and counterclockwise. By the tenth minute of these unrelenting blows, we were all thinking the same: we might die on this flight. 

Some people prayed, some screamed, others vomited. One passenger, two rows in front of mine, spiraled into a panic attack and yelled in terror, asking what was happening, when it was going to stop. I clenched my fists, my face winced with each blow, my stomach twisted with each free fall. Like in those paralyzing dreams, I was not even able to shout. 

I sent a text message to my mom on WhatsApp. I wrote that we were in very strong turbulence, that I had no idea what was going to happen, but that I loved her. I told her to tell my dad and brother the same. One checkmark appeared on the right side of my message, and then the wifi went out. 

After about thirty minutes—an objectively short timeline that nonetheless felt like eternity—the turbulence subsided. Things went back to normal, and a few hours later, we landed safely in San Francisco. While we were taxiing on the tarmac, the second checkmark in WhatsApp appeared, then followed a reply from my mom, on whom the apocalyptic tone of my message was clearly lost, with a casual “honey, I was asleep. everything ok?”. There was never any explanation of what happened on that flight. 

Turbulence has since become something I think about every time I have to get on an airplane. This obsessive thinking has manifested in a few ways. For instance, I always try to sit as close as possible to the aircraft’s center of gravity. Another example is that my seatbelt is always, always on, fastened almost hermetically around my waist. And if you were to judge me by the content of my carry-on backpack, you would probably think I was a survivalist. 

The reactive approach has helped a bit, especially with turbulence seemingly getting worse over time once I started paying attention to it, but it’s only within the last year that I realized my self-structured exposure therapy (or at least, my self-awareness that I can’t avoid flying) would never be enough to calm my worries. I had to acquire some form of foresight, I needed to understand turbulence. 

My friend, a fellow turbulence-fearer, suggested I start using turbli.com, a website that provides turbulence forecasts for any upcoming flight. The tool is neat—each trip is standardized by its duration on the x-axis, which gives a sense when in the trip one can expect turbulence, while the y-axis tells how strong the turbulence will feel when it happens. So, for instance, ahead of my flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024, the forecast on turbli.com looked like this (my interpretation of the chart from the website): 

A sketched version of a chart from turbli.com, showing Eddy Dissipation Rate for a flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024.

The app helps interpret the chart and tells how strong the turbulence might feel, but I still had no idea what any of this stuff actually meant. What was EDR, the Eddy Dissipation Rate? How did one know why some values were marked as light turbulence and others as strong? And then, obviously, what the hell even is turbulence? If I could study air turbulence, I thought—maybe, just maybe—I could conquer my newly acquired fear, by knowing the physics and math of this phenomenon, and I could approach my next flight through an investigative lens. Through a lens that would give me a sense of agency. 

I became engrossed in this intricate world for months, trying to learn as much as possible before my flight from Taipei to San Francisco in early 2024, starting from turbulence as a physical concept and working my way up to the science behind the charts on turbli.com. What follows therefore is my best attempt to decode the nebulous aviation phenomenon that weighs on many travelers and, for reasons that I would learn only at the end of this endeavor, appears nebulous only because our own hubris made us believe we were entitled to any certainty in the first place.     

Turbulence, as a concept, comes from fluid dynamics, a branch of physics that studies the flow of fluids. It might seem counterintuitive to be thinking of fluids in the context of airplane turbulence because air itself is a gas. Gas, however, is also a fluid because—like the other fluids that we typically think of when we say fluids, namely liquids—it can flow and take the shape of its container. 

And just like most substances around us, air is made up of various molecules—primarily oxygen and nitrogen—with a few particles making guest appearances, such as water vapor and carbon dioxide. We can’t see air with the naked eye because there is a vast separation between its molecules, which leads us to think of air as nothing, perhaps an empty space, perhaps something that needs to be filled.

And yet, air is very much something. It is a fluid and it flows in all directions, and as a fluid, it can be deformed. When you wave your hand in the air, you deform it, causing the various molecules in air to disperse and change the direction of their flow. Like every fluid, air has an inherent resistance to this deformation, a fluid’s property known in physics as viscosity, better understood as the fluid’s “stickiness.” 

As you have probably guessed by now, air is not sticky. The vast separation of molecules in the air means that air doesn’t have a lot of inherent resistance to deformation. When you wave your hand, you don’t feel anything preventing you from doing that, which is a sign of the air’s low viscosity. 

The flip side of a fluid with low viscosity is that, once deformed by an external force, it doesn’t have enough “strength” to bounce back smoothly from this deformation and the fluid’s flow therefore becomes turbulent. Conversely, if a fluid has high viscosity—honey is a great example of such a fluid—it will be very resistant to deformation. Just imagine being inside a jar of honey and trying to wave your hand through the thick plasma. It would be near impossible.

What does all this have to do with planes? Let me try a visual, theoretical example. Imagine the air, a smooth jet stream, flowing west to east, without any interruptions on its way. Just the plain skies above and the plain fields below. This is what you see as the horizontal red lines in the image, on the left. 

An illustration of mechanical turbulence: airplane flying over mountains, and red arrows represent the air (fluid) flow, getting disrupted by the mountain tops.

Physicists would call this laminar, sheet-like flow because the layers of the fluid are moving smoothly past each other. Then, a plot twist: the air’s flow encounters a nature’s massive obstacle on the way, like the Rocky Mountains in the United States or the Alps in Europe. This encounter will deform the air, and because the air is not viscous, it won’t be able to easily dampen the effect of this deformation. Enter turbulent flow, which are the red swirls seen around the mountain tops on the right. 

The swirls are called eddies and they are the central characters in the agonizing story of turbulence. All sorts of causes—obstacles (like the mountain shown in the image), wind shear, temperature differences, and so on—create these eddies by applying stress to the fluid. In a way, eddies can be thought of as the unfortunate aftermath, an incurred cost perhaps, of the fluid’s low viscosity. When stress is applied to a low-viscosity fluid, that energy is injected into the fluid’s flow and, because the low-viscosity fluid is not great at resisting this process, its only way to respond to this chaos is to have swirling motions, eddies, to dissipate the energy. Hence the Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR).     

Planes get affected by eddies because an airplane is a three-dimensional object moving through a medium (air), and that means one cannot talk about flying in the skies without talking about the axes of an aircraft1, the imaginary lines that pass through the aircraft’s center of gravity at 90° angles of one another.

A digital drawing of an airplane, used to illustrate turbulence and axes of an aircraft.
The axes of an aircraft, with an airplane in the center, and three axes (x, y, z) passing through its center of gravity.

It’s normal for any three-dimensional object to move around these axes, in movements called yawing, pitching, and rolling. Pilots maneuver aircraft across the three axes to ascend, fly, and descend, which is all swell, but the air’s turbulent flow, with its swirling eddies, can also move the aircraft along these axes.2 So, to feel turbulence as a passenger on a plane is to feel the (sometimes violent) movements of the aircraft along these imaginary lines, caused by the air’s eddies. 

The axes of an aircraft, with an airplane in the center, and three motions specified: yawing, pitching, rolling.

Hopefully apparent by now is the inherent pecking order between air turbulence and an airplane caught in air turbulence. Turbulence happens, and it happens regardless of whether the airplane is flying through the region of air that has become turbulent, so it is not surprising that the formula used to calculate the Eddy Dissipation Rate—the turbulence metric supreme—has nothing to do with the aircraft itself.      

In a 2012 research paper3, NASA researchers have outlined the following formula for calculating the Eddy Dissipation Rate (ϵ):

Formula for calculating the Eddy Dissipation Rate of turbulence, as presented in a NASA research paper.

where e is the turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) and Le the integral length scale of turbulence; the former measures fluctuations of the (turbulent) three-dimensional velocity components from an average velocity, the latter measures the average size of the most energetic eddies within the turbulent flow.4

Rather unintuitive at first glance. To make it more palatable, it’s crucial to understand what this turbulence kinetic energy in the numerator really is. In classical mechanics, kinetic energy is usually expressed as the product of mass and velocity squared, denoting the importance of the singular object that possesses this energy due to its motion. In fluid mechanics, however, one studies the continuum of fluid particles, so to have valid comparisons and calculations of the phenomena within the fluid, it becomes necessary to standardize the kinetic energy by mass. In other words, to divide the unit of energy (Joule) by the unit of mass (kilogram). 

Derivation of units for Turbulence Kinetic Energy (TKE), which shows Joule per kilogram, getting canceled out to produce meter squared per second squared.

Notice the lack of dependency on mass in the terminal expression once the units of mass are canceled out. In a way, the turbulence kinetic energy (e) is like an average, a statistical summary. But, a summary of what exactly? 

A summary of its raw data points, which are the three-dimensional velocity fluctuations mentioned earlier. Turbulence is, for all intents and purposes, chaos, which means there are numerous particles with localized velocity fluctuations from the average velocity of the fluid, and it’s these fluctuations that carry the kinetic energy. Expressing each fluctuation on its own is not helpful, so one takes an average of fluctuations in each of the components, and then also squares them to ensure bidirectional motions (which could cancel each other out) do not obscure the average magnitude of those fluctuations. 

Formula for Turbulence Kinetic Energy (TKE), which shows TKE is an expression of velocity component fluctuations.

Once we account for the unit of the fluctuating velocity components, which is the same as the unit of velocity itself because we are simply measuring the difference of two velocity values, we get the same unit of turbulence kinetic energy. 

Derivation of units for Turbulence Kinetic Energy (TKE), which shows velocity fluctuations in unit of meter per second, which once squared, produce meter squared per second squared.

Put simply, the turbulence kinetic energy (e) in the numerator is about the kinetic energy contained in the velocity fluctuations of the turbulent flow, which themselves are part of the turbulent swirls—the eddies. And, what about the denominator? The Le

Here, it’s perhaps easier to think about the turbulence kinetic energy again. In the same way the kinetic energy of a singular object is not very helpful to the field of fluid dynamics, which is why we standardize it by mass to extract a new measure, that same turbulence kinetic energy on its own is not very useful to a pilot who has to fly through an apparently turbulent region of air. That’s because the turbulence kinetic energy doesn’t say anything about how that energy is distributed spatially. It’s not the same if the same amount of energy (standardized for mass) is spread over a tiny region versus a large one.

Intuitively, this is why the turbulence kinetic energy gets divided by the integral length scale, the average size (length) of the most energetic eddies in the Eddy Dissipation Rate formula. Revisiting the formula,

Formula for calculating the Eddy Dissipation Rate of turbulence, as presented in a NASA research paper.

it’s obvious, albeit surprising maybe, that the Eddy Dissipation Rate and the integral length scale of turbulence are inversely proportional. Holding the numerator (the turbulence kinetic energy) constant, the smaller the integral length scale of turbulence, the larger the Eddy Dissipation Rate. Conversely, the larger the integral length scale of turbulence, the smaller the Eddy Dissipation Rate. So, if the most energetic eddies are really large, the Eddy Dissipation Rate will be really small. Uh, what?

Turns out, despite all the chaos inherent in a turbulent flow, the system—the fluid, and all the dynamic processes in it—works to keep things in an equilibrium. It’s the core principle of thermodynamics, that nature ultimately seeks to reduce instability. Larger eddies, by the nature of their size, allow “more room” for gradients of velocity and pressure across the fluid, which means the magnitude of forces acting at the interfaces between eddies and the surrounding (laminar) layers of fluid are smaller. In other words, smoother dissipation of energy, smoother transition. Smaller eddies, on the other hand, are the opposite of this: quick dissipation of energy, sharp gradients at the interfaces, more instability. It’s worth noting again: the energy in a turbulent flow does not come from the size of the eddies, but from the magnitude of the fluctuations, the magnitude of the gradients. 

Knowing the unit of the integral length scale of turbulence, which is the unit of distance (meters),

The unit of the integral length scale of turbulence is that of distance: meter.

we at last can derive the unit of the metric on the y-axis of turbli.com charts, the unit of the Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR):

Formula for deriving the unit of the Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR), which shows how units cancel out once we use meter squared per second squared for the turbulence kinetic energy (TKE).
The unit of the Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR): meter squared per second cubed.

By doing this derivation, I realized that the EDR does not measure the probability of turbulence happening. The unit of meter squared per second cubed tells the pilots how turbulent—how chaotic—the atmosphere is, but, as is now evident from the derivations, that in itself is not a probability of turbulence happening, and, perhaps more interestingly, without any reference to the aircraft’s mass, it is not a direct indication of how the aircraft will experience the turbulence if it does happen. The latter confused me. I knew from my own experience as a passenger that bigger planes handled turbulence better.     

This was the final piece of the puzzle. While the EDR is indeed not dependent on the aircraft’s mass, aircraft’s mass affects its own weight, because the force exerted on the aircraft by gravity is directly proportional to the aircraft’s mass. 

Formula for the weight of the aircraft, calculated as the product the aircraft mass and acceleration due to gravity.

The aircraft’s weight, in turn, is a critical component of the stall speed5, an aviation measure that signifies the minimum speed at which the aircraft must fly to stay aloft, and this part is a bit more intuitive—heavier aircraft has to fly faster than a lighter one to stay in the air. A higher stall speed ultimately means higher turbulence penetration speed, which is the greatest safe speed at which the aircraft can operate in moderately rough air6, and above which structural damage might occur in choppy skies. 

Notice the implication here (albeit a bit simplified because many other factors are at play as well): the same turbulent atmosphere, in the same spot, at the same altitude, will appear “weaker” to a heavier aircraft because it will need more “strength” to counteract the plane’s high momentum, caused by its large mass and velocity.  

turbli.com says that the EDR values (once multiplied by 100 for easier interpretation) translate to the following categorical turbulence classifications: light (0 — 20 m2/s3), moderate (20 — 40 m2/s3), severe (40—80 m2/s3), extreme (80—100 m2/s3). This means the app does not adjust turbulence classification according to the aircraft weight. 

Other sources7 point out that these particular ranges are appropriate for medium-sized aircraft, like Boeing 737 and Airbus 320, whose maximum takeoff mass is between 15,000 lbs and 300,000 lbs. But for heavier aircraft, like Boeing 777 and Airbus 330, different ranges apply: light (0 — 24 m2/s3), moderate (24 — 54 m2/s3), severe (54 – 96 m2/s3), extreme (96 — 100 m2/s3). This would be of interest to me on my upcoming trip.

When the time came for my flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024, I opened turbli.com the day before, and saw the following chart:

A sketched version of a chart from turbli.com, showing Eddy Dissipation Rate for a flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024.

Using turbli.com’s classification, without taking into account the model and the weight of the aircraft (Boeing 777-200ER), I overlaid the chart with the following ranges:

A sketched version of a chart from turbli.com, showing Eddy Dissipation Rate for a flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024, overlaid with green, yellow, and blue to indicate light, moderate, and strong turbulence.

It seemed the flight was going to be slightly bumpy at the beginning, moderately-to-very and consistently bumpy in the middle, starting 5.5 hours into the trip and lasting for about an hour, and then very bumpy, though briefly, at landing. But I was curious how the weight-adjusted version of the chart would look if I took into account the maximum takeoff mass of Boeing 777-200 ER, classified as a heavy aircraft at approximately 600,000 lbs of maximum takeoff mass.

Digital image denotes the mass of a Boeing 777-200ER and its maximum takeoff mass, used for adjusting turbulence classification.

Adjusted for weight, the EDR chart for this flight would have the following overlay: 

Weight-adjusted sketched version of a chart from turbli.com, showing Eddy Dissipation Rate for a flight from Taipei to San Francisco on March 9, 2024, overlaid with green and orange to denote light and moderate turbulence.

In this version, the trip should never be in the strong (severe) turbulence category, and even the biggest peak in the middle should feel mostly like light-to-moderate turbulence. The bump at landing should still feel notable, though not as severe as it would in a medium-weight aircraft. 

On March 9, 2024, a rainy and foggy Saturday in Taiwan, UA852 took off at 13:19 UTC+08:00 from Taipei to San Francisco, and I, sitting in 35C, diligently documented how each hour of the flight felt, knowing that things would likely get scary five hours into the trip. 




The forecast was mostly accurate; everything just happened a tad earlier than expected, probably because the plane took a slightly different route once we got delayed or because the jet streams gave us an extra speed boost. It’s hard to say, however, which version of the categorical turbulence classification was better suited for my qualitative evaluation of the experience. The weight-adjusted chart, in which only the one-hour timeframe in the middle is classified as moderate turbulence seems more appropriate, though I probably would have answered differently in the moment.  

I wish I could say this scholarly ordeal made things easier when the first frightening thump struck at 03:15 UTC-08:00. Sure, I felt somewhat comforted by the chart, knowing the turbulent episode wouldn’t last too long, but those five minutes still felt like an agonizing eternity. My stomach was still up in knots, my right hand still pressed tightly against the seat in front of me. I was still afraid.

When the turbulence settled and the flight attendants turned off the lights, I kept thinking, at the edge of sleep, about this predicament of mine. It occurred to me that I was not afraid of death from extreme turbulence, that’s not what made me feel so uneasy. Make no mistake, I never felt indifferent about it. I am always deeply vested—I might say even passionate—in making it to my destination in one piece and continuing on with the minutiae of my daily life on planet Earth. But, you know, if it’s meant to be my time, then it’s meant to be my time. 

The discomfort, that dreadful feeling of doom in my gut that creeps in each time turbulence strikes, comes from the liminal time period between the onset of turbulence and its end, which seems to continuously slip away, trapping me in a quantum superposition—like Schrödinger’s cat—both alive and dead, awaiting the outcome dictated by forces beyond my control.

It comes, perhaps, from the the sobering reality of my—and our—poetically fragile existence, a stark reminder that, despite the technological advancements we make, despite the reassuring air travel statistics we cite, despite the scientific frameworks we impose on the world around us, when we confront nature’s fury and greatness, we also confront our defenselessness and insignificance. 

Never clearer is this universal truth than at the precipice of moderate to strong turbulence, like in that split second on my jetBlue flight in 2019, when even the most phlegmatic of us all, previously unfazed by the atmosphere’s violence, shriek in terror. It’s at this moment that we confront our lack of agency in the grand scheme of things. 

As nihilistic as this all sounds, that day, in that moment, on my way from Taipei to San Francisco, in the suspended state of sleep, between lucidity and delirium, it somehow made the monster feel less scary, as if I realized that it had always been there—I just never acknowledged it.  

Factual references

  1. U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, Airplane Flying Handbook (2021), FAA-H-8083-3c, Glossary G-2. ↩︎
  2. National Weather Service, ZHU Training Page — Turbulence. ↩︎
  3. Ahmad, N. & Proctor, F. (2012). Estimation of Eddy Dissipation Rates from Mesoscale Model Simulations, NASA Langley Research Center, pages 2-3. ↩︎
  4. Jafari A., Ghanadi, F., Arjomandi, M., Emes, M. & Cazzolato, B. (2019). Correlating turbulence intensity and length scale with the unsteady lift force on flat plates in an atmospheric boundary layer flow, Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, Volume 189, pages 218-230. ↩︎
  5. Szirtes, T. & Rózsa, P., (2007). Applied Dimensional Analysis and Modeling, 2nd edition, Chapter 18 – Fifty Two Additional Applications, pages 527-657. ↩︎
  6. U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, Turner, T. Flying Lessons for May 6, 2010, (copyright of Mastery Flight Training), pages 1-2. ↩︎
  7. Aviation Weather Training (AvWxTraining), EZWxBrief Pilots Guide. (No color version, updated 5/28/2024), Version 2.0.0, pages 47-48. ↩︎

Down the Riviera, at Crystal Cove, on the N Judah to Ocean Beach

Should you ever find yourself in Croatia over the summer, and should the summer find you in popular cities like Split or Dubrovnik, and should the cities find you exhausted from the clamor of globe-trotting vacationers, you might like to know that two regions, dotted by picturesque coastal towns of unwieldy names, stretch between these cities and are known to locals as the Omiš Riviera and the Makarska Riviera.

The beaches in the Rivieras are narrow, sometimes rocky and sometimes pebbly but almost never sandy, and this particular geological composition is of great importance, the locals will say, because the rocks and the pebbles are good for the soles of the feet. Shade is abundant on these beaches thanks to the fragrant pines that form natural canopies, and you will notice that locals tend to retreat their beach towels in the pine shade when the sun is at its strongest, which, according to collective wisdom of the locals, is approximately between noon and 4 p.m.

Maybe you will also notice that everyone shows up at the beach. Babies. Kids. Teens. Couples, singles, parents, grandparents. And, should you spend an entire day on the beach, which you might notice is what all the locals do, maybe you will also observe that, in between the children’s laughter and the adult beach chatter, there is a moment when each beachgoer stops talking and detaches from the social fabric of these coastal towns. Some find a place of solitude to sunbathe, where the sea breeze brushes against the skin and brings a faint scent of distant lavender fields. Some curl up, rest their heads on the knees, and play with pebbles. Others watch the buoys rise and fall in the distance as waves come and go, lumbering in a procession: first they climb in deep navy, then peak in cobalt blue, then they roll over to the shore in teal, and then fizzle out in turquoise.

A little over 6,000 miles away from the Rivieras, in the state of California, in the city of Newport Beach, just off the Pacific Coast Highway, if you go down the stairs from the Reef Point parking lot, you will find yourself at a sandy beach in the Crystal Cove State Park, at a particular section of the beach that is between the Scotchman’s Cove and the 3.5 Cove, to be precise. The wide beach stretches into the distance on both sides, the distance gets outlined by rugged tall cliffs that grow flowers and weeds, and the flowers and weeds retreat their scents in the presence of oceanic accords of saltwater, kelp, dirt, and seagulls.

At Crystal Cove, the waves of the Pacific Ocean do not lumber. They surge in the distance. They crash against the rocky concretions in the Monterey formation. They hug the shore, pull the washed up shells and weeds into their embrace, and then retire, slowly, back into the distance. Here, at any time of the year, you will see the locals walk barefoot along the shoreline, leaving footprints in the elastic wet sand that disappear as soon as they are formed. Most of the time, people walk alone, sometimes in couples but rarely in groups. Some say hi when you cross paths, others nod and smile. Some do neither because they are looking at the ocean, others because they are looking down. Almost everybody laughs at the sanderlings who first chase the traces of waves and then run away from them, and then chase again, and then run away again.

About 430 miles north of the Crystal Cove State Park, should you find yourself in the city of San Francisco, you can take the N Judah light rail train, one of the city’s public transport options, to get to Ocean Beach. You can board the train in the financial district area, say at the Montgomery Station, where corporate offices reign and construction machinery clatters and police sirens wail, and fifty minutes later, disembark the train at Judah St and La Playa Station, where the Golden Gate Park’s Murphy Windmill and Monterey cypresses proudly face the Pacific Ocean and where the lilac, livid, pale ocher and pale peach houses of the Sunset neighborhood lie low and listen to the ocean waves murmur across the street.

It’s almost always cold at Ocean Beach, even when the sun blazes and the sand burns, but people of San Francisco still show up and walk barefoot along the shoreline. If you do the same, which you should, you might see resigned bull kelps and cracked shells and bleached sand dollar tests and desaturated crab carapaces, and you might wonder what all goes on in those deep waters. Cargo ships, at first, loom on the horizon like ghosts and, before you know it, become real and look bigger than the ocean itself. The sights at Ocean Beach are striking—they command and impress, which is maybe why people of San Francisco come prepared, with beach tents and jackets and wet suits and snacks, and maybe why everyone in San Francisco has an opinion on the right month and the right day and the right hour to go to Ocean Beach.

It’s on N Judah that I found myself this summer, in the week I was off from work, going to Ocean Beach in the late morning and coming back to my apartment in the late afternoon. That I found myself on the train, on my way to the beach, is the right way to frame this experience because the first time I went, I didn’t know why I was going but I knew I simply had to go. One day, I went into the icy, salty ocean water multiple times. Another day, I watched and listened to the ocean waves. And another day, I walked barefoot along the shoreline and counted cracked shells. And then another day, I saw the ocean glisten below the majestic Western sun and I felt a weight dissolve off my chest.

Perhaps I should have known why I was at Ocean Beach, because three years ago, when I was at a crossroads and when I spent a lot of time with my extended family in Newport Beach, it was the Crystal Cove State Park and the Reef Point beach where I found myself every day, and because, for the first twenty years of my life, it was the beaches of the Croatian Rivieras where I found myself befriending the sea and learning that the sea never asked, never judged, never distrusted. Perhaps I should have known that I was at Ocean Beach because the colossal indigo blue depths are what I turn to when I have questions, when I have to relearn that not all of my questions have answers, that not all of my worries need to be worries at all.

I have been thinking, ever since that week, that I never noticed how I had structured my life to always have the seas and the oceans near me, even when I am far away from them. Like how my furniture is all deep blue, orange, and yellow: the colors of the ocean in the last seconds of the sunset. Or how my pillows and sheets and bedroom walls are all in shades of beige: the colors of sand. Or how my jeans have prints of waves and water caustics. Or how so many of my shirts and sweaters and jackets and shoes are in shades of blue, and how I never name blue as my favorite outfit color when it inarguably is.

Why not lakes, why not rivers, I have also been thinking. Why did they never feel the same way? Maybe because they were always too still or always too rushed. And what about mountains and the crisp mountain air and the scenic mountain sights people talk about? They never did anything for me either, maybe because the mountains demand to be fought for, because they offer gifts to only those who conquer their heights.

What I have been really thinking about the most, ever since that week, is how I had always felt an immediate connection with people whose childhoods orbited around the seas and the oceans. It’s a bond that is implicit and unspoken, a bond that exists through a shared need to sit by the water, to watch the waves that demand to be seen, and to speak only when necessary. In the presence of something that’s always there with a power so grand to swallow us completely, to do nothing but exist. In the presence of those colossal indigo blue depths, to surrender.

The Puritan roots of the self-improvement culture

At a recent party in San Francisco, I caught up with an acquaintance whom I had not seen in a long time. A thoughtful guy, kind and emotionally intelligent. Life had been good to him lately: he moved in with his new girlfriend and seemed very happy with the relationship. He said the first few months of dating were surprisingly easy, that both of them immediately knew the relationship would become serious. How did they know, I asked. 

“Well, it was just obvious that each person had done the work.”

The work. 

At that moment, it was clear to me that I was witnessing an emblematic milestone in Western secular culture because I knew, without even asking, that work in the context of our conversation did not mean physical labor or commitment to the relationship. It meant that my acquaintance and his girlfriend, prior to meeting each other, did whatever was necessary to improve their “inner selves.” 

They introspected. They reflected. They journaled. They read. They healed. They both saw a therapist. I know for sure that he also had a life coach. The “work” was the emotional—and in some cases even spiritual—exercise that helped them identify unhelpful behaviors. What are examples of such behaviors? The list is long: anxious attachment, avoidant attachment, anxious-avoidant attachment, trauma response, lack of personal boundaries, lack of professional boundaries, projection, catastrophizing, and many, many others. It doesn’t even matter which unhelpful behavior they worked on; what matters is that the work helped overcome that unhelpful behavior. The work led to personal growth. 

This wasn’t a onetime observation. A year ago, at another party, I sat next to a girl who told me that she had started distancing herself from people in her life who were not interested in working on themselves. Many times over the past few years, I have also heard people say that not going to therapy or not having interest in personal growth is a deal-breaker in dating. Mainstream publications are rife with articles and columns that take this stance, like this one in Vox or this one in The Cut. 

Sharing personal stories of working on faulty behaviors, through deep reflection, has become a way of socializing in fast-paced, secular metropolitan cities. Self-improvement is what my friends and I often talk about when we hang out. Some friends are proponents of therapy. Some are proponents of life coaching. Others love to read self-help books and learn frameworks that chart the path toward wholesomeness. Toward self-actualization. 

I have tried and loved all of them. My journey of self-improvement started in 2001, at the mere age of nine. My parents decided I needed to see a child psychologist after I had watched The Sixth Sense and could not sleep for weeks because I was convinced I was seeing dead people. Mind you, this was 2001 in Southern Europe, which meant this was a highly confidential operation because a nine-year-old kid in therapy was undoubtedly a crazy nine-year-old. Thank you for that, Haley Joel Osment. 

The psychologist at the time concluded I simply had too much free time to think and that I should be preoccupied by numerous extracurricular activities to the point of exhaustion. It took me a decade to accept that “too much free time to think” was a euphemism for anxiety, and so, many years later, I became the first person in my college friend group to start going to therapy. 

I became more aware of my anxiety and my unhelpful behaviors. I started reading a lot about mental health. I quit drinking. I became better at setting personal boundaries. I worked on my emotional regulation. I then started working in the life coaching industry and got a fantastic coach who helped me out even more. Simply put, my mid and late twenties were all about self-improvement.

Coincidentally, as I was working on my inner self, the Western world became more attuned to the idea of self-improvement, and suddenly, more people were into it. But, in the past two years, I started noticing that working on yourself took a new meaning. It became a way to signal goodness to others, a way to market your sense of virtue. 

That is, if you are someone who works on the inner self, it is a sign that you are aware of your faults, of all the traits that make you less of an ideal human, and that you are committed to correcting them. And, obviously, that means you can’t spend time with people who don’t see those faults in themselves and who are not ready to do the work to correct them, right? 

I noticed this pattern of thinking in myself last summer, when I had a conversation with my dad, a staunch adherent of the boomer principles of life. Which is to say that he says what he thinks and what he thinks is that the newer generations are too thin-skinned these days. He was telling me that my vocal disapproval of an upcoming big family reunion was a sign of my selfishness, and I was telling him that I was simply setting personal boundaries. We fought. 

He’s projecting his need to be a people-pleaser again,” I remember having this thought as we yelled at each other. “This is triggering me, he really needs to see someone and work on this. 

Yuck. It was the first time I noticed a thought like this with an objective eye. I sounded obnoxious. As if I felt I was morally superior to my dad because he doesn’t see his own depravities, while I, the wholesome human I am, worked so hard to correct my own wickedness. 

My self-improvement started to feel eerily self-righteous. And, my observation so far has been that, wherever there is an air of self-righteousness, there is an undercurrent of deep-seated Puritanism. Prompted by these anecdotes, I went down the rabbit hole of learning more about the history of the Puritans. 

The learnings were striking, the similarities too conspicuous to ignore. I am becoming increasingly convinced that the Puritan history of modern Western secular society is indeed the high-octane fuel that keeps the self-improvement culture in motion.

I have mockingly referenced Puritanism so many times in my life, but I admittedly knew very little about the Puritans, and the “very little” was based solely on what I learned through watching Charmed—that the Puritans were allergic to alleged witches. So, here’s an essential crash course on Puritan history in case you, like me, like to reference Puritanism without actually knowing anything about the Puritans.

Roman Catholicism was the main religion in Western Europe in the Middle Ages, and the Catholic Church tightly regulated the relationship between individual believers and God. For the most part, it was all swell until the Church began using its power to do shady deals, like allowing sinners to buy forgiveness with money, otherwise known as the indulgence system.1

There was a small group of people who were not only unhappy with this entrepreneurial streak but who also believed the Church was too liberal in its definition of salvation. These renegades believed that only through faith, not through good works, could a person be saved from their sins. Put differently, you could “love thy neighbor” all you wanted to, but unless you were committed in your faith to God, there was no salvation for you. 

The first person to take a strong stance on this was Martin Luther, a German priest and author. In 1517, he published 95 theses, a manifesto that challenged the Church’s indulgence system and that proposed a new way of looking at the relationship between individual believers and God. Most notably, Luther—and his soon-to-be followers otherwise known as the Lutherans—believed that what mattered the most was the individual’s faith, and that the Bible was the unquestionable source of truth.2 This attitude would become known as Justificatio sola fide (Justification by faith alone) or, simply, sola fide. 

In a nutshell, Luther protested against Roman Catholicism. That’s how Protestantism, as a distinct branch of Christianity, was born. Luther’s teachings inspired other thinkers, which led to numerous variations of the Protestant ideology. Of the most notable importance was John Calvin, a French theologian and reformer, who expanded Luther’s ideas into his own branch of Protestantism, later known as Calvinism. Over the next few decades, the Lutheran branch of Protestantism spread primarily through Germany and Scandinavia3, while the Calvinist branch found its way to England. 

This meant Protestantism became popular in England as well, but some English Protestants thought the Queen was simply not doing enough to reform the Church of England, to truly push this movement all the way through. These folks believed their only way out of the never-ending Catholic sin was to leave England altogether. By 1620, they sailed aboard the Mayflower to New England and landed near Plymouth, Massachusetts in New England. Though today they often get clustered under the Puritan umbrella, these 102 separatists were actually the Pilgrims.4 

Now, there was a group of English Protestants who did not want to leave England. They wanted to keep fighting and to purify the Church of England by eradicating Catholicism. Non-separatists is how historians call them. In 1630, however, they realized that getting rid of Catholicism was a mission impossible, so they did what the Pilgrims did ten years earlier. With an official charter from the King of England to establish a colony and to extend a purely-Protestant non-separatist branch of the Church of England, these 1,000 voyagers came to New England and created the Massachusetts Bay Colony in Boston. These folks were the actual Puritans. 

Let’s take a step back and think about the implications of these migrations, because this is where things get interesting. Most Puritans were Calvinists5, which means the tenets of Calvinism were influential in the creation of modern-day America. There is much more nuance to all of this and it’s not a clean split (for instance, the Scottish Calvinist Protestants are technically called Presbyterians6, and there are many Lutherans around the American Midwest today), but what matters is that Puritans brought a very particular flavor of Protestantism to America. 

Much of the research literature points out that Puritans, both men and women, were well-read and literate. These were the folks who founded Harvard7 (and who indeed burned witches, so think about that irony for a moment). After all, that was the whole point: they wanted to understand the Bible themselves without interference from the Church. Many historians have also noted that Puritans were exhaustingly introspective and subjected themselves to intense self-examinations, be it through journaling or through exacting studies of the Bible and their own beliefs. 8 9 

There we go, I thought. Sounds familiar to the in-vogue introspection of the self-improvement industry today. Why, though? Clearly, something about Calvinism and its tenets could explain why Puritans acted this way, but what was that something? And what was so special about John Calvin’s teachings to justify the creation of an entirely distinct branch of Protestantism? 

Finding answers to these questions was surprisingly hard. There is a lot out there about Calvinism, from the importance of covenants to The Five Points of Calvinism, but barely any evidence to prove the alleged causal relationship between Calvinist principles and Puritan introspective tendencies.  

I eventually discovered a 2007 essay10, buried in the depths of the internet, written by Phillip Cary, a professor of philosophy at the Eastern University in Pennsylvania, for his guest lecture at the Concordia Theological Seminary in Indiana. I am no theologist and know very little about religion, but I thought his essay was a great piece of writing. 

The essay provides a perceptive comparison of the Lutheran versus Calvinist way of thinking, and shows that a simple but critical difference between the Lutheran and Calvinist syllogism—a type of logical argument that applies deductive reasoning using two assumed-to-be true premises—in the interpretation of the Bible explains pretty much everything about the tenets of Calvinism. 

In the essay, Cary points out that both Luther and Calvin taught believers are justified by faith alone. Calvin learned this from Luther, so it’s a common Protestant tenet they share: sola fide. Implicit in that statement is the notion that both Luther and Calvin did not believe in the idea of good works, which the Catholics loved. For the two of them, faith is about the belief in the premise of the gospel. There is, however, a critical nuance rarely discussed elsewhere. Cary emphasizes that the two thinkers differed in how they applied deductive reasoning when interpreting the Bible. 

Martin Luther’s syllogism, according to Cary, is based on the following: 

Major premise: Christ told me, “I baptize you in the name of the Father, Son, and the Holy Spirit.” 
Minor premise: Christ never lies but only tells the truth. 
Conclusion: I am baptized (that is, I have a new life in Christ).

Cary says about this syllogism: “[…] Luther’s sola fide does not mean that we rely on faith alone, but rather that we rely on the word of God alone. For that is what faith does: it relies on the truth of the word, not on itself.”

Contrast this to John Calvin’s syllogism, which Cary calls the “The Standard Protestant syllogism” and which, we can infer, influenced how the Puritans who settled in New England thought about the Bible:

Major premise: Whoever believes in Christ is saved.
Minor premise: I believe in Christ.
Conclusion: I am saved. 

On the Calvinist reasoning, Cary writes: “Notice what this requires of us: not just that we believe, but that we know we believe. I call this the requirement of ‘reflective faith.’ Protestant faith has to be reflective in that it is not enough just to believe, you have to believe you believe, maybe even know you believe.” 

If you are a Calvinist, Cary argues, you must teach that those who truly believe are sure to receive the gift of perseverance in faith to the end of their lives. From what I gathered through other readings, this the Perseverance component in The Five Points of Calvinism. 

“Calvin teaches,” Cary continues, “that believers can and should know they are predestined for salvation, which means they can and should know they will persevere in faith to the end, which means they can and should know they are eternally saved, now, already in this life […].”

Notice how agonizingly circular this all sounds. According to Calvin, you theoretically are able to know whether you are predestined for salvation, which, if you are, means you have received the gift of perseverance in faith to the end of life. Which, if you did, means you should know that you believe because, obviously, your faith is the type of faith that perseveres to the end. Uh, what? How does one know that? 

Cary explains: “This is where reflective faith comes in as an essential element in Calvin’s theology. [Calvin] makes a distinction between temporary faith and true saving faith, which of course is faith that perseveres, and he thinks we can and should know if we have true faith. The people with temporary faith may just be mistaken about the status of their faith, which of course is a rather terrifying possibility. […] How am I supposed to make this distinction between temporary and true faith? Where am I supposed to look? Disastrously, I am supposed to look inward.”

“So if you are a good Calvinist,” Cary expands, “you are supposed to notice this—notice that you are getting more inwardly sanctified, which gives you assurance of faith, that is, assurance that you really do have true faith. […] lnstead of looking at myself and finding a sinner—for as Luther rightly says, even the righteous man sins in all his good works—and thus being driven in repentance to take hold once again of the gospel alone as the sole assurance of mv salvation, I am supposed to look at my own heart and see something reassuring. I am supposed to see that I have made real spiritual progress and that I am becoming more inwardly holy and righteous.”

But, as Cary points out, “[…] For this reflective faith, faith relying on itself, is how faith becomes a work, something we must do and accomplish in order to be saved. Then it has exactly the same problems as justification by works. You can always wonder if your works are good enough, and, if you are honest, the answer will be: ‘No, they are not good enough.’”

What Cary shows is that both currents of reasoning are agonized by the same question: how can I find the assurance that I, the sinner that I am, will be saved? But they find solace in different answers. 

The Lutherans accept that it’s hard to trust God and that faith is sometimes a lot of work and that there is a distinct possibility their faith is not good enough, but that ultimately what matters is God’s word alone. When you get baptized, it is Christ himself who, through the mouth of the minister, says “I baptize you,” so who cares if your faith is not good enough? Essentially, let go and let God, and go live your life.

The Calvinists, or the Standard Protestants, and therefore their descendants in Puritans, instead take on that burden and spend their entire lives trying to figure out if they will be saved. You can’t just trust in God’s word alone, you have to know that you have faith and that your faith is good enough. What better way to do that than to constantly reassess your commitment to God, searching for signals that you made progress on the quality of your faith? That you improved your faith. Or, many centuries later in the secular world, searching for signals that you made progress on your inner self. That you improved your inner self.

The parallels to the self-improvement culture are uncanny. Even so, three follow-up questions immediately come to mind. One, who is God in the secular world? Both the Lutheran and Calvinist syllogism are about the strength of faith in Jesus Christ, and Puritans, as well as other Protestants, obviously cared deeply what Christ thought of them and their faith. But, who is God today for a secular individual, who is doing therapy or coaching or simply reading self-help books? Who or what is this individual believing in? 

I can’t answer this question confidently, but my best guess is that it is a persona marketed to us as the ideal secular citizen. I remember reading an interview with one of my favorite musicians, Marie Davidson, for the Guardian, in which she said: “You’re supposed to love work, have tons of friends, you’re supposed to go out, you’re supposed to have kids … You’re supposed to do everything, but that’s not real. That’s bullshit for me, that’s a persona that consumerism created to sell products.” This answer feels right to me. It’s perhaps this idea of wholesomeness, of an ideal state in which an individual is physically, mentally, and morally healthy, uncorrupted by misfortunes and difficulties of life. 

Two, what is the secular world being saved from? This I find a bit easier to answer because I think the similarity is clearer. Be it the Puritans or the secular world today, everyone wants to be saved from their own impurities. Puritans wanted to be saved from their sins, and many of those sins (examples: adultery, witchcraft) would not necessarily make a modern secular individual feel unworthy. But, make no mistake, the secular world is haunted by evils as well. Just think about it: emotional regulation, anger management, getting rid of “toxic” behaviors, reducing anxious thoughts, learning to not get worked up. We don’t see these as sins, but we definitely see them as behaviors that need to be purified. 

Three, does this mean self-improvement is bad? I don’t think so; on the contrary, I think it can be great. After all, I know many people, including myself, who benefitted from dedicating time to work on themselves. Just like I think it can be great to have faith and to be a believer. If it makes you happy and if it gives you peace, whether that’s acknowledging the work you’ve done on your inner self or appreciating the strength of your faith, I don’t see anything wrong with that. 

That said, I think it’s worth paying attention to those moments when we start to feel excessive pride, a sense of moral superiority over others, through our reflective pursuits. Religious or secular, believer or non-believer, faith or self-improvement, no matter who we are and what we believe in, there is a fine line between virtue and delusion, and not knowing which side we’re on is, tragically, when our virtues cause our inevitable downfall. 

Articles and essays that have sparked my interest in understanding the roots of self-improvement culture and that I enjoyed reading

  1. You Don’t Have to Work on Yourself Forever,” by Shayla Love for VICE (2020).
  2. Sola Fide: Luther and Calvin,” by Phillip Cary for Concordia Theological Quarterly (2007).
  3. How the Life Coaching Industry Sells Pseudo-Solutions to Our Deepest Problems,” by Ronald Purser for Current Affairs (2023).
  4. Techno workaholic Marie Davidson: “I’m a total maniac who is very hard on myself,” by Whitney Wei for The Guardian (2018).

References

  1. The Protestant Reformation, National Geographic Education. ↩︎
  2. AMST 140Y: Religion in American Life and Thoughts, The Pennsylvania State University (2006) ↩︎
  3. Lutheranism by region, Wikipedia; graph: By percent of total population, 77+ million worldwide as reported on February 17, 2024, referencing a 2020 statistic. ↩︎
  4. Pilgrims, Puritans, and the importance of the unexceptional,” by John Moore for Washington University in St. Louis (Arts & Sciences). ↩︎
  5. The Protestant Reformation, National Geographic Education. ↩︎
  6. The Puritans: A Transatlantic History by David D. Hall,” by Darryl G. Hart, The Orthodox Presbyterian Church. ↩︎
  7. Pilgrims, Puritans, and the importance of the unexceptional,” by John Moore for Washington University in St. Louis (Arts & Sciences). ↩︎
  8. The Puritan and his God, Chapter 3 from the book Puritanism: A Very Short Introduction by Francis J. Bremer. ↩︎
  9. Thoreau’s departure from American Puritan tradition: The self and divinity, by Alan M. Busch, Florida Atlantic University Digital Library. ↩︎
  10. Sola Fide: Luther and Calvin,” by Phillip Cary for Concordia Theological Quarterly. ↩︎

The untold secrets of B2B SaaS analytics: When to say no (Part 1)

Data, data, data. This has been my world for the past six years working in analytics for B2B SaaS companies.1 Because there is so much buzz around data these days, especially with the latest insurgence of AI, many business professionals often turn to their analytics colleagues in search of insights that will help make the right move and do the right thing.

Sometimes, that’s exciting because the business really does need data to make the right choices. But sometimes, data can be just a scapegoat for many other unaddressed issues in the business: lack of alignment, lack of communication, lack of clear strategy, overcomplicating, and sometimes even laziness.

What no one ever told me was that a big part of being a strong analytics professional in these situations is not only knowing how to build the right data models and do the right analyses, but knowing when not to do any analytics whatsoever, and when to say no to data projects.

To be more precise, if you can evaluate early on whether a potential analytics project will truly make an outsized impact on the business, saying no to low-value projects is actually much better for the company in the long run. It makes you a strategic thinker and a more valuable asset to the business.

That’s why I want to share my approach of evaluating potential analytics projects. It’s not perfect by any means but it has served me reasonably well in my day-to-day job.

It consists of four steps:

  • Step 1: Check whether you even need analytics to make a decision
  • Step 2: Determine if the business stakeholder(s) will actually use your work to make a decision
  • Step 3: Evaluate if you can get to (approximately) the right answer by doing a back-of-the-envelope calculation instead of full-scale analytics
  • Step 4: If the project passes the first three checks, then use the benefit-cost ratio to make a final call

The first three steps are judgment calls. The fourth step is the only one that involves math and that can be a bit time-consuming at first. Once you do it a few times, it becomes much quicker, especially if you make an automated version of it in Google Sheets or Excel. I describe the first three steps in this post, Part 1, and focus exclusively on the fourth step in Part 2.

Note: This approach is based on my personal work experience at high-growth, fast-moving B2B SaaS businesses, where my focus has usually been on driving strategic business decisions with data. My perception, also, is that analytics in these environments has a higher tolerance for estimates and assumptions compared to analytics in established, process-oriented companies. Keep that in mind as you review these steps because they might not be applicable to all analytics teams.

Step 1: Check whether you even need analytics to make a decision

As counterintuitive as this sounds, the first step when taking on a potential analytics project is to figure out if analytics is even needed to make a business decision. Data is useful when the right decision is not obvious, but it can be frustratingly wasteful when it’s used for every business decision.

This happens often because people think they need to see data for everything. In itself, that frame of thinking is a good thing, because it means people are knowingly trying to be more data-driven in their decision-making at work.

The thing is, you can sometimes make a very educated decision without any data, and doing so when appropriate is one of the most powerful skills in the arsenal of any data scientist or analyst. If you can help your business stakeholder recognize that the right decision is obvious and that no analytics is actually necessary, that’s far more valuable to the business than doing an impressive, highly rigorous analysis.

Here’s an example. Let’s say you are working as a data scientist for an innovative B2B SaaS company that sells all-in-one HR software (payroll, performance reviews, taxes, etc.) to other businesses. Every year, these businesses—your company’s customers—decide whether to renew their contracts and continue with your company’s services. The company has been operating for a while, so you have at least ten years of renewal and churn data at your disposal.

B2B SaaS analytics decision tree when the right decision is obvious

The software has a specific section dedicated to taxes, and the version that’s shown to US clients is phenomenal: slick, concise, easy to use, and even entertaining. US clients love the tax section and ever since it has been introduced four years ago, they have been highlighting it as one of the features that makes your company stand out among other HR tech businesses.

But the European clients don’t have that. Their tax section was done haphazardly many years ago when your company had only three clients in the EU, and it now looks like a sad relic of the past. It’s slow, confusing, and jarringly unpleasant compared to the other sections, which are great and equivalent to the ones shown to US clients.

You weren’t aware of this difference, but it has been brought to your attention after a very data-driven product manager joined the company. This product manager is evaluating which parts of the product need to be improved, and they come to you with this question:

“I am looking into evaluating which parts of the product need to be improved to elevate the customer experience. The European version of the tax section is super janky, but I would love to understand whether it has historically impacted financial outcomes, and if we can infer historical impact on customer churn. And, if so, what was the magnitude of that churn? I know that we collect customer satisfaction data through the NPS survey, so I wonder if we can use that to draw correlation or predictiveness? Having data-driven evidence would be super helpful to decide if my team should revamp the European version of the tax section.

All sorts of questions come to mind when you see a request like this from your business stakeholder. What if we don’t have enough NPS responses? Do we even have enough European clients to make a legitimate analysis? How do I tell them that we can’t attribute churn to just the poor quality of the tax section? In a situation like this, the wisest approach is to pause and ask yourself if the right decision is obvious, even without any data.

I would argue the decision is obvious in this case. This is a typical scenario of overthinking and overcomplicating. The European version of the tax section has to be revamped. Whether its poor user interface was ever correlated to churn is irrelevant. It is a poor business practice if clients from one market have the good version of the product and clients from another market have the bad version of the product. It also introduces an implicit customer bias based on something the client can’t control. Not to mention that it can impact the company’s reputation if this discrepancy goes on forever.

The product manager does have to decide eventually how long this revamp should take and how to prioritize it compared to other projects, but they don’t need data to know that the revamp has to happen.

Step 1 takeaway: The answer to important business questions is sometimes simple and obvious. Knowing how to deconstruct your stakeholders’ requests and how to identify decisions that need no data is an underrated analytics skill.

Step 2: Determine if the business stakeholder(s) will actually use your work to make a decision

The more common scenario is that in which the decision is not obvious. It still doesn’t mean you have to get into the data immediately. You should also suss out if your business stakeholder is even going to use the insights you generate. By “use,” I don’t mean whether they will reference your work in a conversation with an executive, but whether your insights will actually drive decision-making in the business. How do you recognize this difference? By watching out for the greatest red flag in the world of analytics—the “it would be interesting to know” statement.

Here’s an example. We’ll use again the case of the B2B SaaS company that sells all-in-one HR software. Let’s say an account manager comes to you and says that the customers (in this case, the buyers of the HR software on the side of the client company) often ask whether usage personas can be identified among their employees by looking specifically at how their employees use the optional peer feedback tool provided by your company’s HR software.

This peer feedback tool is purchased as part of a (slightly) higher-priced bundle of your company’s product, and has generally been praised by customers for its understandable, AI-powered interpretation of qualitative text. That said, it is optional, so customers do sometimes wonder if they’re getting their bang for the buck.

This could certainly be a cool analysis, you think to yourself. Maybe those employees who use the optional peer feedback tool are also more likely to have better performance reviews from their managers? Maybe they are the employees who end up getting promoted more often? This would require thoughtful analysis setup and data exploration, but you definitely see promise in the account manager’s idea. In this situation, it’s very important to probe further, and to understand how this analysis would be used in practice.

B2B SaaS analytics decision tree, when figuring out if decision-makers will even use the output

“That’s definitely a great question,” you say. “There could be a bunch of interesting correlations and potential implications there. Is the idea that the people on the customer side, who run the HR departments, would then nudge those employees who don’t often use the peer review tool to use it more frequently? In case there is a positive correlation? What would happen if there is no correlation or if it’s even maybe negative?”

“Um,” the account manager sighs, “well, I don’t know that they would necessarily do anything. That really depends on their company’s policy and how the peer review tool is implemented and on the professional relationships at the company. But, it would be so interesting to know. I have so many customers asking this question. This insight could really elevate our narrative.”

Bam. That could have been several days of work for you: work that would have resulted in no identifiable progress for your company. When something like this happens, it’s okay to say no until the business stakeholders can identify clear motivation for this type of work and a robust course of action that would follow from the analysis.

Step 2 takeaway: Being curious is fantastic, especially if curiosity is a prominent quality in your company’s culture, but you need to remember that you are getting paid to help run a business. If you establish that your work will be used to simply generate an interesting insight for someone and will never be used for any decision-making, you will waste the company’s time and money if you say yes simply because the work sounds impactful.

Step 3: Evaluate if you can get to (approximately) the right answer by doing a back-of-the-envelope calculation instead of full-scale analytics

Okay, so let’s say the decision is not obvious and this potential project will definitely drive decision-making across the business. Well, that’s it. Sounds like you should go build that predictive model, kick off that in-depth analysis, or launch that full-blown data investigation, right?

Not necessarily. A strong analytics professional will always evaluate whether most of the needed insight can be accurately approximated with a back-of-the-envelope calculation before they commit to a full-scale analytics project. This particular step has been the hardest one for me to learn, because it goes against my perfectionistic tendencies and my selfish desire to always work on something new, challenging, and rigorous. But building this muscle—the intuition to recognize diminishing returns in potential projects—has been paramount in my analytics career.

Here’s an example. We’re still working at the B2B SaaS company that sells all-in-one HR software. The optional peer feedback tool is still the hot topic among customers, and this time, another account manager comes to you to ask for some data. They are elated because one of their accounts is so close to signing a multi-year, 5-year renewal deal. Unprecedented! But—the buyer on the customer account would love to know how this peer feedback tool thingy works longterm, in case they commit to the bundled product for the next five years.

For the buyer, the decision is clearly not obvious. Maybe people grow tired of the peer feedback tool after three years? Plus, any work you do here would clearly help the business; it might be the last insight needed to lock in this unprecedented deal. So, when the account manager comes to you and asks if you can do a statistical analysis that shows whether strong usage patterns of the tool in the first few quarters indicate likelihood of continued usage in the last six months of a deal, it might be tempting to roll up your sleeves and immediately get into the weeds.

B2B SaaS analytics decision tree, when most of the insight can be obtained with back-of-the-envelope calculation

Before you do that, first assess what you already know and have from a data perspective:

  • (a) You know that you don’t have any other five-year deals as means of comparison, if you were to perform a statistically sound analysis. Two years is the longest multi-year renewal your company has had so far. That said, it doesn’t mean you can’t extrapolate.
  • (b) From previous analyses you and other analytics teammates have done, you know that for the two-year deals, on average, 85% of the customer’s employees request peer feedback in this tool at least once in a 12-month period.
  • (c) Of those 85%, a typical customer employee requests peer feedback in this tool on average 1.5 times per month.
  • (d) You also know that requests are very frequent in the first and the last quarter of the year, and are less frequent over the summer months in the third quarter.

Then you also want to assess if there are sensible assumptions you can make about the length of this potential 5-year deal. Particularly:

  • (e) Five years is a long time. In the modern economy and especially in the tech industry, many employees will not stay at one place for 5 years. If someone joins the customer company at the beginning of this deal, it is likely they will leave the customer company and go elsewhere by the time this multi-year deal is over.
  • (f) Company leadership will change in those five years. Employees will switch teams and work with new peers in those five years. All to say, things will keep changing and will not stay the same in that 5-year period. Which means it’s likely they will want to keep hearing feedback from their (new) peers.

Knowing all this, you realize that you might already have a lot of the info you need to give a reasonable recommendation. So, you tell the account manager:

“Thanks so much for your request! I have noodled on this for a bit, and I think we can derive an answer that might be helpful to the customer. Here is how I would break it down:

  • (1) It is hard to have a statistically sound analysis around this because we have never had a 5-year renewal deal before. It’s also impractical to project correlations between early and later usage across such a lengthy deal because (as I’m sure the buyer will be also aware) so many things can change in five years! Employees will leave, they will change teams, they will get new managers, and hopefully many other good changes will happen.
  • (2) What we do know is that for the two-year deals we’ve sold, 85% of employees use the peer feedback tool at least once in 12 months, and of those 85%, an employee requests peer feedback on average 1.5 times a month.
  • (3) We expect that the 5-year deal will follow similar patterns, and that the customer will see lulls during the summer months each year, which is expected.
  • (4) The customer can also expect that not all of their employees will stick around for 5 years, so we can assume that we will go from 85% to maybe only 30—40% employees who will have used the tool at least once every year in the 5-year span.
  • (5) For that subset of users, we can assume that their average usage might taper off in the fourth and fifth year, to around 1 feedback cycle request every 2 months, but that will also be offset by more frequent usage from new employees who joined after the 5-year deal was signed.”

Tada! Yet again, you saved time and money for the business by not spending days on answering this question. This approach might feel hand-wavy, but think about the other scenario, in which you do a full-blown statistical analysis for the business. Would you arrive to a notably different conclusion? Likely not. Your analysis would probably show something similar, and even if you identified the more nuanced insight that employees who engage with the peer feedback tool frequently early on are also more likely to engage with it later on, you would still face the same conundrum—does it hold four to five years in? Probably not, for all the same reasons you already knew.

Step 3 takeaway: While it might feel unrigorous and uneasy, always ask yourself if you can extract most of the needed insight (“80% of what you need”) with a back-of-the-envelope-calculation (“20% of the work”). If the answer is yes, resist the temptation to do full-scale analytics. You will otherwise be delivering diminishing returns to the business. Save the time and energy for business problems that will truly require the precision and the rigor.

Those are the first three steps! Even if the project has passed all the three checks, we’re still at a “might be worth doing.” In Part 2, I cover the fourth step—the more rigorous step—that helps us make the final call on whether a “might be” should become a “definitely”.

  1. Hyper-condensed acronym for “business-to-business (B2B) software-as-a-service (SaaS).” ↩︎

Personal specificity of the best songwriters

Last fall, I bought a beautiful notebook with ivory-colored thick pages, which I have been using to write down my favorite lyrics while listening to music. I didn’t have a rule as to which lyrics I would put on paper. I wanted it to be intuitive; if I heard a verse or a sentence in a song that caught my attention, I would take out a color pen, consult Spotify or Genius.com, and transcribe it. After a full year, I now have a good mix of songwriters documented in my lyrical diary. Marie Davidson, Townes Van Zandt, Sia, Jazmine Sullivan, Amy Winehouse, John Grant, Little Simz, and so on.

I knew the answer already, but just out of curiosity, I then wanted to do a little bit of research and see whether the internet agrees with my adhoc list of best songwriters. It unsurprisingly does not. ChatGPT told me that any notion of “best” is subjective, but that certain songwriters are “widely recognized for their exceptional talent and influential contributions to the music industry.” For our AI pal, that means: Bob Dylan, John Lennon, Paul McCartney, Joni Mitchell, Bob Marley, Bruce Springsteen, David Bowie, Prince, and a few others. My guess is that it was probably trained, among many other articles, on Rolling Stone’s “The 100 Greatest Songwriters of All Time.” A much lengthier list, with some other nuggets like Björk, Bono, Michael Jackson, and Leonard Cohen.

I am a big fan of Björk and Michael Jackson. I do listen to David Bowie every once in a while, and I adore Prince’s Purple Rain album. But I really don’t care for their lyrics. I also know that many of the other mentioned musicians have genuinely been the greatest gifts to the music industry, and yet, I also don’t care for their songwriting.

It was apparent to me, after just a few months of writing down lyrics, what I was drawn to in songwriting: personal specificity. The verses and lines referencing exact locations, particular moments, or real names of other people, all of which have unequivocal connection to the artist. The sort of specificity that has traditionally been more suited for prose and not for chart-topping music.

But it’s really been only in the past few weeks—an incidental result of reading Susan Sontag’s essays— that I have started disentangling why I am drawn to personal specificity. Before I get to the why, let’s start with the what. What are examples of personal specificity and who are some of the vanguards of this sensibility?

The what behind personal specificity

Specific places:
John Grant, Benjamin Clementine, and Rina Sawayama

The following songwriters exemplify personal specificity by writing about particular locations: explicitly identifying them and often providing names of exact neighborhoods, streets, or buildings. I personally tend to gravitate—as will soon be obvious—to those artists who dissect the liminal spaces between their hometowns and the cities they had escaped to. These liminal spaces are charged with so much emotion and I find it inspiring when a songwriter can translate that to listeners.

"Back then I often found myself
Driving on the road at night
And the radio was broadcasting the ocean
Warm late spring wind whips through my hair
I am right here, but I want to be there
And no one in this world is gonna stop me.

At 25 and 36 to Boulder
I was getting warm
But now I'm getting colder
And I stomp my feet demanding like a child
I hope you get everything you wanted boy
I hope you conquer the world and turn it into your toy
But don't come crying when you're forced to learn the truth."
—— John Grant, Pale Green Ghosts

I am not too versed in John Grant’s discography, but his song “Pale Green Ghosts” is by far one of the most striking, beautifully written electronic tracks of the last few decades. Pale green ghosts is a reference to the Russian olive trees found along the I-25 highway, close to Grant’s childhood home in Colorado, and is a locational anchor that serves as the glue of this haunting, Rachmaninoff-inspired song.

These two verses do an excellent job at painting Grant’s anxiety and greed as he drives on Interstate 25 and switches to 36 to get to Boulder, Colorado. He never says this explicitly in the song, but the specificity of the highways and cities give us enough information to infer what’s going on—Grant is taking us back in time, to a period when his younger self had a greedier and simpler vision of the world, fueled by ambition and desire to succeed (“turn it into your toy“). Many years later, Grant would end up with a history of substance and sex addiction, a jarring outcome that Grant now sees as lack of maturity and self-awareness (“but don’t come crying when you’re forced to learn the truth.”)

It’s a beautiful and heartbreaking ode to one’s inner child by a much wiser, slightly more damaged older self in a setting that always warps time. A setting called home.

"Adiós
Yes, goodbye, adiós
Adiós to the little child in me
Who kept on blaming everyone else
Instead facing his own defeat in Edmonton
After all, I should have no regret
For if it wasn’t for the mistake I made yesterday?
Where would I be by now?" 
—— Benjamin Clementine, Adiós

While Benjamin Clementine has cemented his status as one of the most admirable songwriters in Europe, he hasn’t yet reached that level of recognition in other parts of the world. And, by “other parts of the world,” I particularly mean the United States, where an English-speaking artist should not have a hard time gaining traction. My guess is that his avant-pop, spoken-word style of music eschews the formula that typically guarantees at least moderate success on mainstream charts.

It’s a shame because he is a terrific songwriter, and one who ingeniously uses locational specificity as a poetic device. London and Paris, the two cities that have defined much of Clementine’s life, have often been the central topics of his songs, from “Winston Churchill Boy” to “London,” but nothing gets more personal and more specific than “Adiós,” a song about Edmonton—his hometown where Clementine grew up in a strict, religious family.

Take out the line about Edmonton from this verse and the song could easily have a very different meaning. It could be understood as a self-lacerating rumination about one’s own immaturity or even about an unfortunate faux pas. The charm is in the essence of this line, though, in which Clementine says “instead of facing his own defeat in Edmonton.” It’s a moment of specificity that tells us he is saying goodbye to his younger self, the one who was likely at odds with his religious family and the one who escaped Edmonton to busk in Paris. The defeats he didn’t face were probably life’s hardest lessons: that, in most cases, we can’t blame anyone else—even those closest to us—for our hardships.

"国々に 歩き渡り
鳴り響き 悲劇のシンフォニー
喜びに 変わる悲しみ
をさぐる毎日

28 and I still want to scream 
Can't face who I can and can't be
5,938 miles between you
You make me

Akasaka sad 'cause I'm a
Sucker, sucker, so I suffer"
—— Rina Sawayama, Akasaka Sad

In so much of Western culture, Tokyo is often glamorized, seen as something majestic, unattainable, maybe even indescribable. For Rina Sawayama, Tokyo represents hope that inevitably always turns into depression. We learn about this dichotomy on “Akasaka Sad,” a track from Rina’s debut album, which describes her perpetual desire to connect with her Japanese roots, leading to repeated stays at a hotel in Akasaka, a district of Tokyo.

The album’s themes of unclear identity and familial mental health issues are vividly described on this song and manifest exceptionally through numbers, measurements, and exact locations, none of which are typical poetic devices of a songwriter. Rina flees London—where she had immigrated to with her parents when she was five—to find solace in Tokyo, but even with 5,938 miles away from London and just two years shy of turning thirty, the generational trauma catches up with her. It’s a sad feeling, one that only immigrants stuck in a limbo between multiple cultural identities know, and Rina pays homage to this turmoil in the only way that makes sense—with geographical precision, with mathematical exactness, and without any symbolism.

Specific moments:
Little Simz, St. Vincent, and Amy Winehouse

The following songwriters exemplify personal specificity by narrating very specific moments in their lives. This type of specificity is the closest a song can get to being an artist’s diary entry. It requires precision and vulnerability and—most importantly—a life that’s lived; a life full of moments worth writing about.

"Book smart with the bars, but I never learnt that from school
16 doing up radios sets, I was spinning up all them fools
Times I would get home late to my mumzie's crib
'Simbi, who are you with?
What have you done?
Where have you been?'
Shit 
Tears in my eyes, real tears when Ken got nicked 
Tore everyone apart, but the law don't give two shits
Just another Black boy in the system doing time in bin"
—— Little Simz, 101 FM

An artist with precision and vulnerability is Simbiatu Abisola Abiola Ajikawo, who goes by the nickname Simbi and who is more commonly known to the rest of the world as Little Simz, the British-Nigerian rapper based out of London. One of my favorite rappers, not only does she capture the essence of British hip hop today, with her exquisite blend of rap layered on top of grime, R&B, and punk, but she embodies specificity in all of her lyrics.

Take “101 FM,” for example, from her album GREY Area, which takes listeners back to Simbi’s adolescence, when she was coming up in the UK’s music industry, “doing up radio sets […] spinning up all them fools,” coming back home late, annoying her mom. The three lines that quote her mom, “Simbi, who are you with? What have you done? Where have you been,” do a beautiful job of painting that classic teenage moment of facing an infuriated parent after a night out, rolling your eyes at them, and mumbling “Shit.”

She then gets even more personal and tells the listeners about the year when her childhood friend got incarcerated, which tore her community apart and left an indelible mark on her adolescence, and, very likely, on her view of the world. This is hip hop at its best: heartbreaking, funny, and endearing all at the same time.

"Prince Johnny, you're kind but you're not simple
By now, I think I know the difference—
You wanna be a son of someone.

Remember the time we went and snorted
That piece of the Berlin Wall that you'd extorted
And we had such a laugh of it,
Prostrate on my carpet

You traced the Andes with your index
And bragged of when and where and who you gonna bed next
All with sons of someone's"
—— St. Vincent, Prince Johnny 

I wouldn’t say that Annie Clark, more commonly known as St. Vincent, is a songwriter who wears her heart on her sleeve. But she captures intimate moments from her personal life with great specificity, even if the listeners might not be able to identify the people behind the aliases. On my favorite track of hers, “Prince Johnny,” Clark takes us directly into the post-New York nightlife comedown hours, with her and Johnny—a pseudonym for a friend from the city’s queer scene who’s very self-destructive and rejects help—prostrate on Clark’s carpet, both very likely high on drugs (they literally snorted a piece of the Berlin Wall; it’s not a metaphor).

The next verse stops the time for listeners and masterfully depicts the intimate moment between them, as Johnny traces his index fingers along Clark’s breasts (the Andes mountains likely being a fitting metaphor) and brags about the famous people he’s going to sleep with. I love these few verses because they distill Clark’s sadness into a concise, nonjudgmental narrative: as she listens to her friend claim the starfucker title with great pride, Clark realizes that Johnny is ultimately just looking for validation and acceptance from his own family—to be a son of someone’s. We, as listeners, get to live vicariously through this specific moment and see the shiny but also dark side of New York’s inexhaustible love for those who don’t belong anywhere else.

"Your neighbors were screaming, I don't have a key for downstairs
So I punched all the buzzers, hoping you wouldn't be there
And now my head's hurting, you say I always get my own way
But you were in the shower when I got there, and I'd have wanted to stay
But I got nothing to say

You were so beautiful before today
And then I heard what you say
Man, that was ugly

The Moschino bra you bought me last Christmas
Put it in the box, put it in the box
Frank's in there, and I don't care
Put it in the box, put it in the box
Just take it, take the box, take the box"
—— Amy Winehouse, Take the Box 

A wordsmith in a league of her own, Amy Winehouse was a true master of lyrical specificity. From hip hop-like references to Donny Hathaway and Ray Charles on “Rehab” to the famous 9-and-14 shoutout to her and Nas’ shared birth dates on “Me & Mr. Jones,” she allowed so much visibility into her personal life through lyrics.

A standout for me is the track “Take the Box” from her debut album Frank, which word-for-word describes the day when Amy went to her ex-boyfriend’s house to drop of his stuff following their breakup. She describes the moment with immaculate exactness (“Your neighbors were screaming, I don’t have a key for downstairs, so I punched all the buzzers, hoping you wouldn’t be there“), including the Moschino bra and Frank Sinatra CD gifts that Amy didn’t want to keep (“The Moschino bra you bought me last Christmas”, “Frank’s in there, and I don’t care”), and puts on paper what is essentially a highly personal time capsule. Amy did the impossible with this song: isolated an event that lasted only a few minutes, made it factual as if she were offering a testimony, and somehow made it heartbreakingly poetic as well.

Specific people:
Nicki Minaj, Sia, and Big Boi

The following songwriters exemplify personal specificity by referencing actual people in their work, often by real names and without any pseudonyms. It’s a courageous and a risky thing to do. Each time an artist references real people in their work, they break down the walls that separate their two selves: the artist and the person behind the artist.

"She said, "Fuck Fendi", but I think she was playin'
I heard she move them thangs, I think she fuckin' Wayne
She call herself Lewinsky, that means she give him brain
She tryna be like Lil' Kim, her picture looks the same
Why she ain't signed with G-Unit, she from Queens, right?
And what's her nationality, she Chinese, right?"
—— Nicki Minaj, Still I Rise 

Nicki Minaj is well known for her unmatched razor-sharp lyrics and I doubt anyone familiar with her music would dispute that. But I think she doesn’t get enough credit for her ability to continuously weave in direct, up-to-date references to people in her own life, references that leave no room for endless interpretation. “Barbie Dreams” from Queen is probably a recent example of this, though I prefer the more factual specificity on “All Things Go” from The Pinkprint and on many songs from Beam Me up Scotty.

With “Still I Rise,” for example, she mocks her haters who compare her to Lil’ Kim, or speculate whether she’s sleeping with Lil Wayne, or wonder what actually happened between Nicki and her former manager Big Fendi (their fallout happened earlier than people thought), or why she never signed G-Unit, the record label founded by 50 Cent, a fellow Queens-native (50 Cent explicitly said “’cause of Fendi.”) What I love about a verse like this is that Nicki doesn’t play coy; she acknowledges each rumor and each person involved in the rumor, and she makes it clear that it’s ultimately no one else’s business to know. But should anyone be interested, there is plenty of material out there that can help address each piece of gossip. By bringing in so many names of people in her life, Nicki puts her watermark on this song. Even if you’ve never listened to the track, just by reading the verse, you know that Nicki is behind it.

"Ella is worried about her weight
She won't eat in public anymore
She is fucking her ex again
When they've finished, she sleeps on the floor

Nate has a heart of gold
But give it away he will not
His mother abandoned him at ten
It's a pain he has never forgot

Mary's afraid of herself
Her sentences often cut half
She will never give her own opinion
She's afraid that people might laugh

And I am afraid of sharks
I will not swim out past my head
And sometimes I worry my boyfriend will die
My first love is already dead."
—— Sia, Fear

Sia Furler is another fascinating songwriter to study when it comes to lyrical specificity with people, mostly because she has consciously evaded exactness in her songwriting over the last decade. Just think of songs like “Chandelier,” “Cheap Thrills,” or “Titanium”—they are everything but specific. Packed with catchy punchlines, most of these bops are known for their tropey and effervescent lyrics. You can listen to them, vibe to them, but you won’t get to actually learn anything about people in Sia’s life. In her interview with Chris Connelly for Nightline, she even admitted these lyrics were written using a bulletproof pop-song formula. “I usually choose a one solid concept,” she described “So, I see a chandelier. So then, I’m like, oh I know, how could I use that, that’s a strong title.”

What most people don’t realize is that Sia’s vague, concept-centric lyrics are successful only because she intentionally does the opposite of what she’s really good at: writing frighteningly personal lyrics. Before her trademark wigs and the “Titanium”-induced fame, her lyrics were piercingly clear and raw, rife with unequivocal references to her turbulent personal life. On “Fear,” from her 2001 album Healing is Diffucult, Sia goes through several specific people who are all fighting different manifestations of fear, highlighting how this debilitating emotion had hindered their lives. We don’t know whether these people are her real friends, but we get a hint with the lines “And sometimes I worry my boyfriend will die / My first love is already dead,” which is an explicit reference to the sudden death of her then-boyfriend, Dan Pontifex, in 1997 and the booze-and-drugs spree that followed.

I am also convinced that Amy Winehouse’s lyrical specificity was actually strongly influenced by Sia’s earlier work. The transparent references and unwavering absence of metaphor in Sia’s earlier songs like “Healing is Difficult” are the same anti-poetic devices with which Amy crafted her hits. In 2014, speaking to Howard Stern, Sia mentioned that she and Amy—while Amy was still alive—happened to be playing at the Chateau Marmonte on the same day. “[Amy] played the guitar, and she happened to be playing an old song of mine that was called Little Man,” Sia said. Amy mentioned that “Little Man” was one of her favorite songs, which naturally made Sia think that Amy would be open to collaborating. “I knew her peripherally,” she added, “and, I was like, well, we should work together. And [Amy] was like no, no fucking way, man, I’m totally intimidated by you.”

"Shoulda bought an ounce, but you copped a dub
Shoulda held back, but you throwed a punch
'Posed to meet your girl but you packed a lunch
No D to the U to the G for you
Got a son on the way by the name of Bamboo
Got a little baby girl, four-year—Jordan
Never turned my back on my kids, for them
Should've hit it, quit it, rag-top
Before you re-up, get a laptop
Make a business for yourself, boy, set some goals
Make a fat diamond out of dusty coal"
—— Outkast, B. O. B. - Bombs Over Baghdad 

I am also a big fan of Big Boi (Antwan André Patton), former member of OutKast, who has often used real names of people in his life. On a personal favorite track of OutKast, “B. O. B — Bombs Over Baghdad,” Patton gives a frisky lecture to ghetto youth and throws in the names of two of his kids, Bamboo and Jordan (his third kid Cross wasn’t born yet at the time), emphasizing what a committed father he always had been and coloring his playful commentary on the ghetto with tried-and-tested advice. On “GhettoMusick,” a track from Patton’s Speakerboxxx part of OutKast’s 2003 album, he also mentions his grandmother, Edna Mae Kearse, who showed him “how to be a smooth operator, dominator in the state of Georgia.” (Funnily enough, his grandmother planned to have a book, which according to Patton was “going to fuck everybody in the family“) I am not going to make huge leaps here and argue there is something profound to Patton name-dropping his family in these songs — but it brings realness to his image and gives texture to his lyrics.

The why behind personal specificity

As I’ve mentioned, it’s only in the past few weeks that I have started wondering why I am drawn to personal specificity in songwriting. And, the answer is: transparency. I initially couldn’t name the reason, but as I was reading Susan Sontag’s “Against Interpretation,” it suddenly all clicked. “Transparence is the highest, most liberating value in art—and in criticism—today,” writes Sontag. “Transparence means experiencing the luminousness of the thing in itself, of things being what they are.”

Now, I know it’s a bit counterintuitive to apply Sontag’s commentary to songwriting because many of her essays argue against the importance of content in art, but where I do see relevance in her argument is in the notion that interpretation “presupposes a discrepancy between the clear meaning of the text and the demands of (later) readers” and that it “amounts to the philistine refusal to leave the work of art alone.” In other words, interpretation of art is an act of searching for “meaning:” what did the artist mean? what is the meaning of this color? what is the meaning of this tone? what is the meaning of this song?

It’s the search for the songwriter’s meaning with people’s adorations of songs like The Beatles’ “Yesterday” or Radiohead’s “Creep” or Prince’s “Purple Rain” or Björk’s “Pagan Poetry” that has always baffled me (and, full disclaimer, I actually adore the latter two). The lyrics in these songs are so generalized, sometimes rife with metaphor, that it almost doesn’t make sense to infer any meaning whatsoever. I’m not saying these are bad songs but I feel that we often attribute too much value to highly stylized songwriting just because it can have so many layers of “meaning.”

Instead, why not value songwriting that is so specific, so exact that it warrants only one interpretation, which is the one clearly given by the songwriter? It’s what Sontag describes as “[eluding] the interpreters in another way, by making works of art whose surface is so unified and clean, whose momentum is so rapid, whose address is so direct that the work can be… just what it is.” Personal specificity abolishes ambiguity in songwriting and produces art that is so transparent, so unique, and so irreplicable. Neither would Nicki Minaj ever rap about depression in Rina Sawayama’s hotel in Akasaka nor would Sia ever sing about John Grant’s existential crisis on Colorado highways.

Of course, this only answers why I as a listener am drawn to specificity. There is still the lingering second question, which is: why are songwriters today writing lyrics with so much personal specificity to begin with? It’s obviously not a new thing (some immediate examples that come to mind: Lauryn Hill with “Zion” back in 1998, Eminem with “Mockingbird” in 2004), but my perception is that it’s more common today.

My hunch—and it admittedly could be a silly hypothesis—is that the democratization of music through the rise of platforms like MySpace or Soundcloud and through the increased accessibility of production equipment has led to an industry-specific survival of the fittest. What once made songs with generalized lyrics, like Whitney Houston’s “I Will Always Love You” or John Lennon’s “Imagine” or ABBA’s “Dancing Queen,” successful is no longer what works in the world of recommender systems and limited attention span. Generalized lyrics require too much time and too many interpretations to pique one’s interest. Specific lyrics provide straight-to-the point narrative and one truth, which is what the world craves today. In order to survive, therefore, artists need to “specialize” their brand and stand out. What better way to do that than to write very specific lyrics?

In the end, honestly, whatever explanation there is for so much personal specificity in songwriting, I am here for it. And I certainly hope it doesn’t go away.

Photography credits

The photos in this article are works of several incredible photographers.


(1) John Grant: courtesy of Hörður Sveinsson. Follow Hörður on Instagram as well.
(2) Benjamin Clementine; courtesy of Steven Pan. Follow Steven on Instagram as well or reach out to him on Models.
(3) Rina Sawayama; courtesy of Chloe Sheppard. Follow Chloe on Instagram as well.
(4) Little Simz; courtesy of Nwaka Okparaeke. Follow Nwaka on Instagram as well.
(5) St. Vincent; courtesy of Stephano Colombini + Alberto Albanese (also known as Scandebergs). Follow Stephano and Alberto on Instagram as well.
(6) Amy Winehouse; courtesy of Jeff Kravitz. Follow Jeff on Instagram as well.
(7) Nicki Minaj; courtesy of Patrick Demarchelier. Pay tribute by following Patrick’s work on Instagram.
(8) Sia; courtesy of Amy Sussman. Follow Amy on Instagram as well.
(9) Big Boi; courtesy of GL Askew II. Follow GL Askew II on Instagram as well.


Slouching towards San Francisco

The first time I read Joan Didion’s “Slouching Towards Bethlehem” was in 2017, which was coincidentally also the year of the essay’s 50th anniversary. I remember feeling transfixed by it, partly because of Didion’s incisive writing and partly because of the striking characters that Didion met on the streets of San Francisco in the sixties. Characters that felt familiar, somehow almost too real.

I have reread the essay numerous times since then, and each time, the San Francisco of Didion’s world has felt even more similar to the San Francisco of my world. The longer I live in San Francisco, the more prophetic Didion’s essay becomes, and as I approach my seventh year of living in the city, the more convinced I am that the San Francisco I know today is an uncanny reincarnation of the same social fabric Didion witnessed in the sixties.

The characters Didion meets in the city are unmistakably Californian. Not in the sense that they grew up in California but in the sense that they came to California to find their true selves, only to later realize they didn’t even know what they were actually searching for.

There is Max, who tells Didion he “lives free of all the old middle-class Freudian hang-ups,” seeing his life as a triumph over “don’ts,” evidenced by his adolescent affairs with peyote, alcohol, mescaline, Methedrine, and his resistance to committed relationships. The same Max who later invites Didion to his place for a group trip on acid, but tells her that they have to wait for six to seven days because he and another friend, Tom, have been on STP for a while. The same Max who, as Didion later learns, is a trust fund baby and plans to travel to Africa and India to “live off the land” with his girl Sharon.

Sharon, a teenager who left her separated parents and moved to the Haight-Ashbury neighborhood, is keen to transcend the banality of everyday life by getting high, even making a door sign that said “DO NOT DISTURB, RING, KNOCK, OR IN ANY OTHER WAY DISTURB. LOVE.” so that the group could drop acid in peace. But she gets restless on the day of, waiting for Tom and his girl, Barbara, and is bored “just sitting around.” Max tells Didion that Sharon exhibits “pre-acid uptight jitters.”

There is also Don, who is on a macrobiotic diet. Then there is Jeff, who doesn’t pre-plan and lets “it all happen” and who really doesn’t like the fact his mother would ground him for not ironing his shirts for the week. He describes her as “just a genuine all-American bitch.” Another gem is a guy named Sandy, who is reading Laura Huxley’s You Are Not the Target when Didion first meets him and who sees meditation as a turn-on. Or a guy who goes by the name Deadeye, who “made a connection” to earn money and prevent getting evicted from his house, by getting acid from someone who had it and giving the acid to someone who wanted it.

It’s hard for me to read Didion’s essay and not marvel at the remarkable similarity, even fifty years later, between her protagonists and the people I regularly meet in San Francisco. Similar evangelists abound today in the city, be it the two guys I’ve known who once competitively compared their meditation routines, the friends who worship at the altar of Soylent, or the trust-fund acquaintances who microdose and read self-help books to find purpose amid the noise of the Bay Area rat race.

The industry I work in is predicated on people’s triumphs over “don’ts,” so much so that every veteran techie will proudly admit their startup idea was initially met with discouragement from their family, from their friends, and from their investors. It’s a badge of honor, in the tech industry, to resist society’s disbelief and to endlessly explore and play, not unlike how a headstrong kid defies its parents and does not yield to house rules.

That same resistance is highly valued today in San Francisco’s social contracts as well. A girl I recently met at a friend’s party moved from the South Bay to San Francisco in her early twenties, and found herself inducted into an unofficial polyamorous commune, which she described as a friend group at a “very thin line between a community and a cult.” She loved it because the people there helped her break out of her shell, but she did admit that monogamy was not less preferred—it was implicitly discouraged.

When Max, Sharon, and Tom drop acid in the essay, lounging together with Didion, there is a beautiful moment of fabricated, childlike togetherness. After all the “innumerable last-minute things” Tom has to do, Sharon’s pre-acid uptight jitters, Barbara’s indecisiveness over whether to smoke hash or drop acid, the group finally gets to enjoy the high, and there is no sound or conversation until four hours later, when Max simply says, “Wow.”

This hyper-optimized communal spontaneity that Didion’s new friends continuously chase strikes me as not so different from the togetherness that some of my friends and people I know in the city diligently engineer every year at Burning Man. One night in 2019, after telling a friend that I would never go to Burning Man because spending several days in the desert without all my skincare and fragrances sounds like hell, the same friend complained how I don’t seem to understand the connection and love she feels with other Burners for that one week in the desert.

I did want to ask her why that connection and love couldn’t exist outside the playa, but I figured I already knew the answer: when playing hard at Burning Man was over, she had to go back to working hard. In the words of one workaholic, energetic type-A tech executive who once told me before leaving for Burning Man, he was to be “off grid” for customers as he set out to playa to “lose a few brain cells.”

Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think I am above this. As Didion mentioned in the documentary Joan Didion: The Center Will Not Hold, “Killing a snake is the same as having a snake.” I don’t go to Burning Man and I don’t drink Soylent, but I know that I am also a consumer of the bumptious lifestyle that comes with the mainstream San Francisco scene. And I also know that my view of the city is myopically limited to the tech scene, which is where I have ended up by the mere nature of working in that industry.

What I do want to point out instead is that maybe the veneration and the scorn surrounding the social scene today in San Francisco are the same opposing forces that the city had seen before. Maybe these seemingly disparate communities—the hippies of the sixties and the techies of today—actually have more in common than one would think.

There is a good question presented in the essay, from a psychiatrist Didion met in San Francisco, that I found particularly indicative of this similarity: “Anybody who thinks this is all about drugs has his head in a bag. It’s a social movement, quintessentially romantic, the kind that recurs in times of real social crisis. The themes are always the same. A return to innocence. The invocation of an earlier authority and control. The mysteries of the blood. An itch for the transcendental, for purification. Right there you’ve got the ways that romanticism historically ends up in trouble, lends itself to authoritarianism. When the direction appears. How long do you think it’ll take for that to happen?”

The alleged counterculture that we see today in San Francisco’s tech scene is very similar to the quintessentially romantic social movement of the hippies. The innocence manifests through the Peter Pan syndrome, the desire to never grow up and to continue playing and exploring. An itch for the transcendental is the ignition that propels so many people in the city’s tech scene to build, to create, to “change the world,” all in the name of greater good and nonconformity. And sometimes that itch is the same one that the hippies had, which gets scratched with drugs and by getting high; not necessarily to be numbed, but to transcend.

Didion makes a great remark in the essay that she had been witnessing children detach from their roots to create a community in a social vacuum, an irrefutable evidence of the society’s atomization post World War II. Though she does not state this explicitly, I believe she was never dismissive of the pacifist values that were born out of this process in the sixties. But what she does point out indirectly, through the stories of her Haight-Ashbury friends, is that these counter movements often end up not so counter after all, precisely because they seek to establish the same values many of us run away from.

For Max, Sharon, Tom, Barbara, and many of the other characters in the essay, their counterculture meant rebelling against the norms imposed by the previous decade of suburban boom, familial rigidity, and growing American corporatization. It meant trying out every drug, resisting commitment, defying suburbia gender roles, and letting everything be “groovy.” And yet, what Didion witnessed were weeping cries to find a home, carefully orchestrated trips on acid, teenagers who want to commit but cannot, and girls who dislike “earning more than $10 or $20 a week” and most of the time “keep house and bake.”

For many of us who moved to San Francisco to be part of the tech scene, counterculture meant rebelling against stability, predictability, and employability, all of which had been the norms imposed by the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. It meant dropping out of school instead of getting that prestigious degree, working for a startup instead of a predictable office job that “opened doors,” hanging out with “builders” instead of networking with VPs and SVPs and the C-suite, and thriving in ambiguity instead of seeking stability. And yet, a few years down the line, we find ourselves job-hopping between startups to optimize our comp packages, waiting out on the IPO to get those downpayment checks, coveting nomination-only memberships at San Francisco’s clubs for the tech elite, and having mentors at work to “cope with uncertainty.”

This similarity is why I felt so transfixed by Didion’s essay when I first read it. I think her experience helped me understand why I often felt cheated after getting to know the mainstream San Francisco scene. I expected to see defiance, maverick values, valiant impulsiveness, but in reality, most of us so far have been fairly predictable characters with a well-established, longstanding, approved narrative.

From the 1960s to the the 2010s and now to the 2020s, the society’s atomization has continuously produced us, characters who detach from their nuclei and seek to rebel against society’s norms, ending up in idolized communities that, in the end, seek to establish the same values many of us run away from. What has plagued me though, each time after reading Didion’s essay, is that I haven’t felt the same level of despondence that she did in 1967 when writing this story. And I think I finally understand why.

Didion’s implicit argument in the essay is that nuclear, familial structures are necessary to prevent further atomization and disintegration of American society. As she says, “Once we had seen these children, we could no longer overlook the vacuum, no longer pretend that the society’s atomization could be reversed. […] These were children who grew up cut loose from the web of cousins and great-aunts and family doctors and lifelong neighbors who had traditionally suggested and enforced the society’s values. They are children who have moved around a lot, San Jose, Chula Vista, here.

But what if today the society’s atomization doesn’t need to be reversed? What if those cousins and great-aunts and family doctors and lifelong neighbors are not good for us? What if their values are oppressive and suffocating and ignorant? What if both statements can be true? I am part of a community that exists in a social vacuum, composed of people who are not actually rebelling but merely running away from the norms that suffocated them. And, it’s a community that, however faulty and paradoxical, is the right place for me—at least for now.

The reality is that all of us here have detached from our nuclei for some reason. I love my real, nuclear family. But I’ve always known that, for my own sanity and quality of life, I had to embrace society’s atomization and detach. I had to build a life in which I would find a chosen family, far away from home and far away from my nucleus. Maybe it’s selfish, but I accept this paradox now and I no longer see the mainstream San Francisco scene with suspicion. Instead, I see it with empathy. Because I am a part of it.

I think we all have to ask ourselves ultimately, if our society keeps getting atomized, and there are people who not only embrace the atomization but actually need it, then is the problem in the society’s atomization or in the society itself?

What makes a great content creator?

Two years ago, while having lunch with my parents, my dad and I got into an argument over the societal value of content creators. My dad claimed he didn’t understand how someone making YouTube videos could be making so much money and what—if any—benefit they were bringing to the table.

I managed to convince him that societal value doesn’t manifest only in something physical, like a sold good, but that it can also manifest in something more virtual and cultural, like a content creator who is pushing boundaries of comedy.

But I couldn’t answer his other question. He asked how one can even know what a great content creator is when the only metric measuring their success is popularity. I knew that I had strong opinions of which content creators were good and which were not, but I couldn’t give him a good answer as to what actually made them good.

So, after two years of scrolling through Instagram when I really could be exercising, of watching YouTube videos at 2 a.m. when I really could be sleeping, of reading interviews with content creators when I really could be doing meal prep for the upcoming week, I think I finally have an answer to my dad’s question.

Very good content creators have at least two of the following: depth, relevance, and novelty. Great content creators have all three. I’ll call these three pillars “The Venn Diagram of Content Creators.”

The Venn Diagram of Content Creators: Depth, Relevance, Novelty

There are a lot of content creators out there. The decent ones, those who attract at least some level of viewership, fall at least into one of these pillars: depth, relevance, or novelty.

The Venn diagram showing the three pillars of great content creators: depth, relevance, and novelty.

Depth refers to the uniqueness or incisiveness of the creator’s content. It essentially answers the question: Will I learn something new or think differently about myself or the world by consuming this creator’s content? A YouTuber who offers very structured and honest film reviews that are different than those of mainstream critics would be a deep content creator. On the flip side, a YouTuber who offers reviews that are vague and very similar to those of mainstream critics would not be a deep content creator.

Relevance answers the question: Could many people be interested in this? I want to be specific here and emphasize the modality of this question. Relevance is not only about whether people currently care about the content, but it also speaks to the possibility that many people could care about the content if they were exposed to it. A talented photographer who documents lesser-known conflicts and crimes around the world on Instagram would be an example of a relevant content creator. While the subjects of the photographer’s content might be unfamiliar to the followers, the followers can still be invested in their stories. Conversely, a TikTok creator who reviews high-end ski gear would not be a relevant content creator. There will certainly be a subset of people who care about this topic, but the majority of the people will find it inaccessible.

Finally, novelty answers the question: Is this content something I have never seen before or is it presented in a refreshingly unconventional way? For example, an incredibly talented TikTok creator who does fantastic impressions of celebrities is not novel. Many people have done that for many years now. But, say that the same TikTok creator not only impersonates the celebrities, but dresses up to look exactly like them, and then publishes reels of demanding absurd orders at Starbucks as the celebrities–that would be novel.

Decent content creators are typically good at one of these three pillars. It’s the overlapping regions of the Venn Diagram, however, where very good and great content creators are found. The very good ones can be identified in the overlapping spaces of two pillars. And the great ones can be found in the overlapping space of all three pillars.

So, who are they?

The Very Good Content Creators

Overlap 1: deep, relevant, but not novel

The first category of very good content creators is the overlap of those creators whose content is both deep and relevant, but not novel. In most cases, these content creators appeal to wider audiences because their content showcases ideas or discussions that most of us care about or are at least somewhat interested in. These creators also typically offer unique and incisive insight in their content.

The content and its presentation, however, are not necessarily novel. Product reviews, styling inspiration, fashion advice, and art are typical examples of this: they can be incisive and unique but not novel.

A subset of the Venn diagram that focuses on very good content creators: deep, relevant, but not novel.

I love fashion, so I follow a few content creators whose Instagrams and YouTube channels are great examples of this intersection. Nick Wooster, for instance, has been a popular style icon among men because he seamlessly achieves depth and relevance in his content. Insta photos of well-dressed men are not in any way novel, but Wooster offers something unique: cool and youthful sense of style against the backdrop of his admirable physique. And, that’s the catch. While the content itself is nothing new, Wooster’s personality and his curation of outfits offer something far more incisive—an underlying affirmation for young guys around the world that one can still turn heads, even in their sixties.

Other two creators I follow are Olaf Hernandez and Gallucks, two younger guys who take a distinctly futuristic approach to streetwear. As a result, while they are not relevant to the wider male audiences as much as Wooster is, they have quickly become an endless source of inspiration for city dwellers.

Hernandez, in particular, has a great eye for curating looks across the entire color spectrum, playing with exaggerated and contrasting silhouettes, showing how the neo-Y2K style can look refreshingly sexy. Gallucks takes a completely different approach; his outfits are usually far more monochromatic and reminiscent of underground London and Berlin clubbing scenes, but they are not replicas of those nightlife uniforms. The outfits instead take a far more bionic and far more approachable tone. On top of that, you can also find him on YouTube giving well-argued reviews of footwear, clothing, and fashion scenes across the world.

These guys are clearly not doing anything novel. But their talent, eye for quality, and sense of style put them above the rest and add depth to the endless universe of fashion content.

Overlap 2: relevant, novel, but not deep

The second category of very good content creators is the overlap of those creators whose content is both relevant and novel, but not deep. What that means is that these creators will typically not offer any unique or incisive insight in their content, but their content is usually relevant to larger masses and is presented in a refreshing, unorthodox way. My hypothesis is that this overlap tends to be the easiest target for criticism because “anyone could do it.” Which is, by all means, not the case.

A subset of the Venn diagram that focuses on very good content creators: relevant, novel, but not deep.

One of my favorite content creators who falls in this category is Amelia Dimoldenberg, English journalist and content creator, known for her YouTube series Chicken Shop Date. If you haven’t seen it, the premise is very simple: Amelia and a celebrity guest meet up for a date at a place that you would most likely never choose for a first date—a chicken shop.

Now, some versions of this premise existed previously in American MTV shows, but what’s really novel about Dimoldenberg’s approach is that the final cuts of the episodes are quick, snappy, cringey, deadpan, and for the most part, actually have nothing to do with dating itself.

And, it’s absolutely relevant. Maybe you’re a Rosalía fan? You’ll enjoy the episode in which Rosalía tells Dimoldenberg she’s going to be her wingwoman while Dimoldenberg tries to break down what “peng” and “leng” stand for in English slang. Or maybe you don’t care for Rosalía but love Daniel Kaluuya? Then watch Dimoldenberg try to seduce him using zero facial expressions. Or maybe you’d rather witness Shania Twain’s chaotic mom energy while in a chicken shop? That’s an episode too.

You won’t learn anything new about these celebrities when watching Chicken Shop Date. But, the episodes are absurdly entertaining and strategically unconventional, which will catch your attention even if you have seen many other interviews with these celebrities before. So, don’t immediately discredit it. You try coming up with deadpan questions for different celebrities that will feel equally disarming and alarming. It’s not easy.

Overlap 3: deep, novel, but not relevant

The third category of very good content creators is the overlap of those creators whose content is both deep and novel, but not relevant. My opinion is that these creators get the shorter end of the stick in the online hustle game. They are typically a refreshing addition to the online world, because they offer unique insights and because they present novel content or at least existing content in a novel way, but because their content doesn’t appeal to the masses, their fandom doesn’t have as much expansion potential.

A subset of the Venn diagram that focuses on very good content creators: deep, novel, but not relevant.

One of my favorite content creators in this category is AJayII, a YouTuber who produces videos of her live reactions to albums and songs, typically pop or hip hop. She has attained a cult following within the online music community for her genuine and formidably analytical reviews of music releases. While not musically trained, she is able to recognize quality and deconstruct that quality in a very accessible way for her viewers.

I loved, for example, that she amusingly kept complaining about Sia’s lacking enunciation in her reaction video to 1000 Forms of Fear or that she couldn’t stand Ariana Granda’s sweetener. She is certainly a deep content creator. I also think her method of evaluating music is novel; I don’t know whether other creators were recording live album reactions before her, but AJayII was the first content creator I discovered who was listening to the albums for the first time and reacting to them realtime instead of producing a post-mortem album review.

The catch is that only music aficionados actually listen to whole albums and care about the contextual significance of the album’s songwriting, production, and art direction. For that reason, someone like AJayII will probably not seem like a relevant content creator to a person who only occasionally enjoys listening to music.

The Great Content Creators

The full overlap: deep, relevant, novel

And, for the grand finale, we reach the full overlap. The great content creators can be found at the overlap of all three pillars. They are deep, they are relevant, and they are novel. This is by far the hardest space to reach, and I think getting there is a combination of talent and timing. Who are these unicorns?

A subset of the Venn diagram that focuses on great content creators: deep, relevant, and novel.

There’s quite a few of them out there but my two favorite are Emma Chamberlain and Nikkie de Jager-Drossaers, more commonly known as NikkieTutorials.

By this point, Emma Chamberlain has become a celebrity herself, but even before her meteoric rise, her content was pushing boundaries. I remember discovering her for the first time and being initially dismissive, then intrigued, and then absolutely amazed. She was relevant. She talked about anything and everything, from existential life crises to the driest minutiae of her routine, which was also the first time I understood what “relatable” meant—I actually could relate to her!

Her style of recording and editing videos was absolutely refreshing to me, maybe even initially a bit disorienting but certainly catchy and addictive. And, while most people will say that there is nothing deep about what she does, I think Chamberlain’s content is anything but shallow. Just watch the video in which she drives around LA on a Monday, trying out different coffees, and offering amusingly entertaining and yet very incisive reviews that capture the misery of wanting to branch out only to realize that you just want to stick to the coffee you already know and love.

Everyone can do it, right? I really don’t think so. Just observe the people in your own life, or even yourself, and ask who would actually spend a day passionately trying out different coffees and getting absolutely absorbed in such mundane adventure?

Nikkie de Jager-Drossaers is a Dutch makeup artist who rose to fame with her YouTube makeup tutorials. Makeup instructions are not necessarily novel, but what de Jager-Drossaers was doing with her videos was absolutely groundbreaking at the time: essentially reverse-engineering celebrities’ makeup and then engineering them back for her viewers. I would also say her novelty then increased even more once she became more known and started having famous people on her channel, like Lady Gaga and Adele. To see public figures appear willingly without makeup and get transformed by a makeup artist was a huge milestone in our celebrity culture.

de Jager-Drossaers’ depth is unquestionable. You don’t need to understand makeup or even be interested in it to realize that she is definitely an artist. You could make an argument that relevance of her content is more gender-specific, but as the boundaries of gender expression have been relaxed over the last decade, many guys have also become more appreciative of makeup. As a result, someone like de Jager-Drossaers has become one of the defining content creators of the 2010s and early 2020s.

What both Chamberlain and de Jager-Drossaers prove is that occupying the space of full overlap in the Venn diagram is certainly a matter of timing, especially as it relates to novelty. But it’s important to note that novelty can’t be intentionally timed, and neither Chamberlain nor de Jager-Drossaers finetuned their rise according to some obscure calendar of success. What did happen is that both of them, being talented and hard-working and innovative, came a time when culture needed them the most. And they seized the opportunity to push cultural boundaries.

So, the formula to being a great content creator, I would say at least, is very clearly defined. What goes into that formula, on the other hand, whether that is depth or relevance or novelty, is most certainly not something that everyone can do. It requires a lot of talent, it requires a lot of hard work, and it requires a bit of luck and a bit of opportune timing.

Turning 30: Notes on life

I turned thirty last September. I spent that entire day on a long flight on my way back to the States, secretly hoping one of the flight attendants would come by and leave a small note on my tray table, thanking me for choosing to fly with United on the day of my birth. That, of course, did not happen, so I think it’s safe to say it was the least glamorous birthday I ever had. And yet, I was at peace. I felt genuinely excited that day to bid adieu to my twenties and to start the fourth decade of my life. I felt content.

There were many, many great experiences in the last ten years. I made incredible friends, I finished school, I got a job doing what I like, I lived in incredible cities, I learned how to take more risks, I learned how to conquer some of my biggest fears, and I learned how to courageously face some of my deepest wounds. I was privileged to have these experiences.

But, there were some dark moments in there as well, filled with sadness, loneliness, confusion, and anxiety. I certainly knew those feelings were a rite of passage. Twenties, despite their glamorized portrayal in pop culture, are supposed to be full of ups and downs. Those ups and downs are allegedly what turns us into stronger and wiser adults.

At the same time, while I knew everyone else was experiencing similar feelings, I still felt that I wasn’t doing life correctly. There were so many changes happening each year, and I felt that I lacked the ability to control them and to preserve stability. Just as I would figure out one aspect of my existence, it felt as if the universe then did a full factory reset, throwing me into an entirely new configuration.

And so, I kept waiting for that “wisdom” to come. You know, the wisdom that everyone keeps telling you about. The one that suddenly hits you in the last few months of your twenties after you have overcome all these annoying hurdles. The one that suddenly bestows upon you this incredible talent to handle life and all the curve balls that it throws. The one that teaches you how to do life correctly.

The funny thing is that the “wisdom” did actually come. It just wasn’t what others told me it would be. In early 2020, my parents came to San Francisco for a visit. I distinctly remember telling my dad that I felt I was in the right place at the right time. I was feeling more comfortable at my job, I felt that I have grown into myself more, and that I was happy with who I have become. I was a little sad that I wasn’t able to leave the country because of my green card application, but I figured it was going to be a fun year nonetheless and that I would spend it with my close friends in the city.

Life had other plans though. The pandemic hit and everything changed. All of a sudden, I was in my cramped apartment all the time, day after day. My laptop and Google Hangouts became my life. Many friends moved away and disappeared, some of them very suddenly without having said goodbye. When I did see people, every conversation centered around the virus. I couldn’t see my family even if I wanted to because my immigration process would come to a full stop. I felt like I was in double quarantine. I felt I was no longer in the right place at the right time. It was all so surreal and so unbelievable.

I was fortunate enough that I didn’t lose anyone in my life to Covid and that all the people I loved could, for the most part, stay at home if they wanted. Which is why I didn’t understand why I felt so sad and frustrated. Everyone else was going through the same thing—some through far worse experiences and in far worse circumstances—and yet it felt as if everyone else had accepted this new normal and effortlessly adapted to its harsh conditions.

That obviously wasn’t true. Everyone struggled. One thing was certain though; I was refusing to accept that the world had changed. It took me a while to understand this, but I—like everyone else that year—was grieving. I was grieving the loss of my pre-pandemic life, I was grieving the loss of all the pre-pandemic rituals that I took for granted, and I was grieving the loss of the pre-pandemic time freely spent with the people I loved. And I was refusing to move on. I got stuck.

I am not mentioning this to complain about my objectively frivolous pandemic woes but to point out that the “wisdom” came with this experience. What I learned was that stability cannot ever be permanent. Change is inevitable, wherever you are in life, and no matter how many times you successfully handle the inherent volatility of our existence, you are not spared from one of the toughest weapons in life’s arsenal: unexpected loss.

That can be an unexpected loss of a loved one. It could also be losing your job. Or losing your apartment. Or moving away from your family. Or ending a longterm relationship. Cutting out a friend from your life, getting cut out from a friend’s life, losing your pre-pandemic routine, and so on. The list is endless.

While they differ in magnitude, all these experiences have one thing in common: loss that comes unexpectedly and brings on an intense—though not always acknowledged—grieving process. Where they start to diverge is the path that you choose after that unexpected change and after that unexpected loss.

If there is wisdom to be acquired in our twenties, it’s exactly this one and it’s one that I don’t think people ever talk about. We don’t enter our thirties suddenly equipped with wisdom to do life correctly and to handle all life’s challenges. What does happen, at least what I have come to realize, is that all of us go through unexpected changes and unexpected loss in our twenties. Some of us learn how to reweave our life stories during that loss, victoriously emerging wiser on the other side, while some of us get stuck.

My mom always tells me she didn’t believe the rumors of a potential war in Bosnia and Herzegovina back in 1992. She was 25 at the time, pregnant with me, spending time with her friends, and hearing through the grapevine what she thought were grossly exaggerated stories of an impending disaster coming. And, then—it actually happened.

I never understood what she meant when she said that the world she knew ceased to exist that day and that her perception of people permanently changed, even when the war eventually ended. But I get it now. My family was fortunate to have not lost any loved ones in the war, but they still experienced massive loss. They lost their identities. They lost their sense of safety. They lost their sense of trust. They lost their sense of optimism. And, most horrifyingly, they lost the future they envisioned for themselves.

I can only see now from this vantage point that collectively they went through an agonizing grieving process. My parents and many of their friends, probably due to the fact that they had young children, accepted the loss and eventually rewove their life stories. Many others got stuck, yearning for the pre-war times and endlessly trying to recreate the social fabric of Yugoslavia. But those days were gone.

Over the last ten years, people who I have witnessed do life the right way were those who, with each chapter of unexpected change and unexpected loss, fell apart and relatively quickly realized they had to reweave their life story. It’s an uncontrollable process, of course, because simply getting up one day and saying that you have decided to rewrite your life story is not going to do it. But their awareness of the loss they suffered, even when that loss is not a loved one or even a person, provided the light they needed to eventually pick up the pieces and move on.

Pop culture calls this skill resilience. Personally, I never liked that term and I rarely use it. Resilience, for me, conjures an image of an elastic object, of something that can be bent and deformed but ultimately returned to its initial shape. From what I have experienced and what I have seen in these last ten years, that is not the solution to processing loss and moving on. It’s quite the opposite. It’s falling apart, losing your initial shape, and then having the hope and the courage to rebuild yourself into a new shape. One with a new, rewoven story.

That, of course, does not sound nearly as sexy and empowering as resilience. It might even seem hopeless because it takes away the sense of agency our Western culture likes to glamorize. I personally find it very humbling. There is something almost freeing about this piece of wisdom, knowing that in the lack of predictability, there is absolutely nothing that I can do to prevent change.

I remember reading an interview with Robyn for Time Magazine, just after she had released Honey, describing her tumultuous few years of depression that inspired this incredible album. And she mentioned that after she lost her collaborator, her view of the world changed. It became far less stable for her. Though she doesn’t say it explicitly, I could tell that the word she was going for was softer. That softness comes through the imagery of honey and can be felt, almost tactually, in the album’s eponymous song.

I really loved that symbolism. Life is far softer, far more amorphous than we think. It can give and gift but it can take and steal as it pleases. At the same time, that’s what makes the periods of stability without these unexpected changes so precious and so special. I think that’s why I felt content the day I turned thirty. It wasn’t because life was objectively incredible. It also wasn’t because I had it all together. I was content because I realized there is no such thing as doing life correctly. With its honeylike softness, life will undoubtedly adopt many unexpected shapes, and the only correct thing I can do is to go with it. And appreciate every moment along the way.

How to use math when deciding which perfume to wear

I grew up in a family that loves perfumes. Some of my earliest childhood memories are those of my mom going out with my dad to formal social events in the winter, wearing this unusual, glamorous earthy scent that I had no way of describing as a child but that vividly encapsulated my mom’s personality. Powerful and loving but also enigmatic and defiant.

My grandma, who was always dressed in bright pastel colors, wore sweet, floral, and powdery perfumes. They suited her because she herself was ebullient, theatrical, melodramatic, but also non-confrontational. And, even my dad, who isn’t one to spend time overanalyzing beauty products, allowed my mom to choose a small collection of colognes for him—often spicy, balsamic, and a bit woody—that complemented his warm but strong-willed nature.

My brother and I, as a result, got exposed to this hobby early on and learned to appreciate the art of perfume-wearing. I wasn’t aware this contextual education was happening, but as I got older and as my collection grew, my friends would point out that it was unusual I had so many perfumes, and that I had strong opinions on when and which perfume to wear. To me, of course, it wasn’t unusual because this had always been a thing in my family.

Interestingly, I only realized later that my way of deciding when to wear which perfume was very different from that of my family. While my mom, for example, can instantaneously break down each perfume into top, middle, and base notes, which somehow tell her when to wear it, my mind thinks very mathematically. When I first try on a perfume, I see an image in my head, one that I can clearly contextualize with the help of time, temperature, and weather. And then, my mind translates those features to math.

That math is something that I regularly use to choose which perfume to wear, and something that I think can bring a lot of ease to everyone’s decision-making.

The 3D Cartesian coordinate system for perfumes

For me, each perfume can be a placed in a three-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system, where the x axis represents the time of day, the y axis represents external temperature, and the z axis represents precipitation.

On the x axis, we move from day to night. On the y axis, we move from hot to cold. And, on the z axis, we move from clear to rainfall. I make the z axis simplified on this chart because I usually consider any form of precipitation, rain or snow, at the “rainfall” end of the spectrum.

Three-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system for perfumes.

Now, when we talk about Cartesian coordinate systems, we have to have some form of numbers represented on these axes to describe position.

For simplicity, I like to imagine that each axis is bounded by —1 and 1 as the terminal points. What that means is that on the x axis, just as an example, —1 would represent the late night and 1 would represent the early morning, just after sunrise. On the y axis, on the other hand, we can imagine that —1 would mean really cold weather and 1 would mean really hot weather.

Three-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system for perfumes, with numbers designated on each axis.

Keep in mind that these terminal points on each axis are directional at best; they are not mapped to the exact magnitude of these situations in real-life scenario. In other words, when I say 1 on the y axis, I don’t think of it as boiling-level temperature, but instead as just the regular summer heatwave.

You can start to place various points in this space and identify what they would mean in real-life scenario. For instance, what would the origin O with x = 0, y = 0, z = 0 mean?

For the x axis, that would refer to twilight, that majestic moment between the day and the night. Though, in the context of perfume-wearing, I am really referring to the time just after sunset, because I could not imagine myself waking up and timing perfumes before sunrise.

For the y axis, that would refer to the perfectly moderate, mild temperature of the environment that’s neither hot nor cold, which for my body is 21°C or 70°F.

Finally, for the z axis, that would mean the classically cloudy day, when you are not able to see the sun at all but there is also no rain or snow.

Together, that would imply that the origin O would represent a moderate 21°C or 70°F cloudy day, just after sunset. Who thought that dreadful high school math would turn out to be actually applicable?

My favorite perfumes in the 3D Cartesian coordinate system

Let’s see how some of my favorite perfumes can be described in a 3D Cartesian coordinate system. I picked out the three that I think are very different in their olfactory composition and intended use: Fahrenheit by Dior, Un Jardin sur le Nil by Hermès, and Yatagan by Caron.

Fahrenheit was a cologne that I discovered in 2018 and instantly fell in love with. The moment I smelled it, I knew it was a statement scent. Spicy, citrusy, woody, and leathery, with a prominent underlying note of gasoline, I instantaneously saw myself wearing it when going out at night, wearing a punk-inspired jacket, black leather boots, a sweater or a shirt with skull imagery.

So, my mind translated that imagery to: late night, crisp cold but not freezing weather, and clear skies—because I don’t do rainy nightlife. Mathematically, I therefore assign Fahrenheit to point DF in space with coordinates x = —1, y = —0.5, and z = 1.

Fahrenheit by Dior visualized in 3D Cartesian coordinate system.

Un Jardin sur le Nil was one that I was introduced to by my mom. I distinctly remember seeing her wear it in springtime, often when she had to attend a work lunch, when she would also sport a sophisticated, chic outfit. At the same time, the perfume with its floral and citrusy notes, mango being the most prominent one, gave her a playful edge.

As a result, my mind always associated this one with an image of a gentle but playful butterfly, flying on a bright day, in peak spring, when it’s usually clear with maybe an occasional spring rain that gives even more life to all the beautiful nature around us. Mathematically, I therefore assign Un Jardin sur le Nil to point HN in space with coordinates x = 1, y = 0.35, and z = 0.75.

Un Jardin sur le Nil by Hermès visualized in 3D Cartesian coordinate system.

Yatagan I discovered while reading an interview with the incredible Iris Apfel. She mentioned that she and her husband Karl used the same perfume by Caron, which was not very popular at the time. After some research online, and perusing many people’s reviews, I found it for a very reasonable price and decided to do a blind buy. I have always been such a fan of Iris, I figured she must know if something is good.

I remember opening the box when it came and seeing this amber, chic-looking perfume bottle with dark-red letters spelling out Yatagan (later on, I learned it was a type of Ottoman knife) in a font that very much reminded me of the Prince of Persia video games.

The first whiff gave me strong wood and forest imagery. I liked it. I imagined myself walking through a dense forest on a fall day, stepping on freshly fallen autumn leaves, damp from all the rain, which accentuated the smell of the surrounding pine trees. Mathematically, I therefore assign Yatagan to point CY in space with coordinates x = 0.25, y =— 0.5, and z = —0.8.

Yatagan by Caron visualized in 3D Cartesian coordinate system.

Each perfume that I discovered or was introduced to was therefore always followed by an initial imagery, which I could always describe using the time of day, external temperature, and precipitation. My mind would then map the components of this imagery to a three-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system.

And that’s how I ended up with a list of all my favorite perfumes with their x, y, and z coordinates. Whenever I have to decide which perfume to wear, I observe what the day is like and consult my little database of coordinates.

List of my perfumes with their (x, y, z) coordinates. This list shows Hermès, Guerlain, Dior, Yves Saint Laurent, Chanel, and Givenchy perfumes from my collection.
List of my perfumes with their (x, y, z) coordinates. This list shows Prada, Boucheron, Paris Hilton, Caron, Oscar de la Renta, Burberry, Hanae Mori, Issey Miyake, and Frederic Malle.

Using the 3D coordinate system to group perfumes by their vibe

What’s cool and fun about placing perfumes in a 3D coordinate system is that we can calculate the distance between two perfumes. This distance is what my mind sees as the difference in their “vibe”.

Because this 3D coordinate system has contextual significance, with each axis representing something that we experience with our senses, the proximity of perfumes in this space tells us that they elicit a similar… well, for lack of better word, vibe.

That distance can be calculated using the well-known equation for calculating the distance between two points in a three-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system. The larger the distance, the greater the difference in vibe.

The formula for calculating the vibe distance of perfumes.

For orientation, it’s useful to identify the smallest possible distance dmin and the greatest possible distance dmax between two points. The smallest distance is obviously zero. The greatest distance is less obvious, so we actually need to calculate it. The formula above shows that the greatest distance will happen for points P1 (1, 1, 1) and P2 (—1, —1, —1), whose distance in vibe is 3.46.

In my personal collection, as seen in the tables above, Terre d’Hermès Eau Tres Fraiche has coordinates x = 1, y = 1, z = 1. I don’t, however, have any perfumes that have x = —1, y = —1, and z = —1. The closest perfume to that theoretical point P2 is Promise by Frederic Malle, with coordinates x = —1, y = —1, and z = —0.4.

These two perfumes are indeed almost the complete opposites. Their vibes are very different.

Terre d’Hermès Eau Tres Fraiche is a pleasant, zesty, inoffensive summer fragrance that’s perfectly suited for a day on a boat, wearing a light, breezy white shirt, white chinos, and beige espadrilles.

Promise is a bold, risky, and very divisive scent that I can pull off only when I am feeling incredibly confident and even a bit cheeky. It’s sexy, intoxicating, and frustrating. It juxtaposes rosy, woody, and spicy notes, which means it rebels. And rebelling means it’s not a crowd-pleaser, so I wear it only when I feel really good about myself.

It can be hard to visualize how vibe relates to mathematical distance, so let’s plot two perfumes, Fahrenheit and Un Jardin sur le Nil, that we placed previously in the 3D space and calculate the distance between them.

The vibe distance between Fahrenheit by Dior and Un Jardin sur le Nil by Hermès visualized in 3D Cartesian coordinate system.

Looking at the chart, we can see that these two perfumes also have a decent distance between them, which means we should expect that the math would tell us the difference in their vibe is high—not 3.46 maybe, the greatest possible distance, but at least somewhat high.

Formula for calculating the vibe distance between Fahrenheit by Dior and Un Jardin by Hermès sur le Nil in 3D Cartesian coordinate system.

2.19 is a solid distance! And that number correctly shows how I—and, I imagine, many other owners of both perfumes—feel about their opposing vibes. Fahrenheit is a gritty nightlife perfume, while Un Jardin sur le Nil is a sophisticated, garden party perfume. They are, however, brought closer together in space by being best suited for days with clear skies, which is why their distance in vibe is not as high as 3.46.

Final thoughts

Nailing down the art of knowing when and which perfume to wear is a fun and rewarding undertaking. I always enjoy learning how others choose their perfumes and how their minds analyze them.

If you are someone who is not into perfumes, but would like to know more, I recommend starting with Fragrantica. It’s like an encyclopedia of all perfumes out there, and a wonderful place to learn the major names in perfumery, to understand how others choose perfumes for their collections, and to pick up all the cool incisive vocabulary that will help you describe olfactory experiences in a far more nuanced way.

The unsettling chic is our modern aesthetic of ugliness


This essay won an Honorable Mention at the Writer’s Digest 94th Annual Writing Competition in the category “Nonfiction Essay or Article.”


I recently made a Pinterest account and the first board I created—a bit pretentiously titled Ésthetique Bizarre—ended up consisting of designs, scenes, and characters that are anything but conventionally beautiful. They are unusual. Some are weird. Some even disturbing. And yet, I still found them all very captivating. 

Why was I spending time meticulously curating these images that are not pretty? It made me pause. I then looked through my Instagram and realized this inspiration didn’t come out of nowhere. It was everywhere.

One of the accounts I follow is Fecal Matter, the moniker of Steven Raj Bhaskaran and Hannah Rose Dalton, whose designs, clothes, and makeup would probably be considered frightening by most people (their website shop, even if the idea scares you, is absolutely worth checking out).

Another one I follow is Salvia, a young Welsh artist who uses similar “extreme” techniques of creating otherworldly looks but also specializes in producing content that might look to some as body horror.

And then there is someone like Jaco Putker, who is far less extreme in his presentation but who produces equally bizarre content, often toying with images of centaurs, swines, and gloomy stills of the working class.

What was striking to me was that these niche multimedia artists were not the only ones who had been going against the longstanding standards of beauty. I thought about all the other people I follow who have influenced music, film, and fashion in recent years, and observed very quickly that this trend had permeated the mainstream quite some time ago. Even if we were not paying attention, we definitely witnessed many examples of this.

Lady Gaga showing up at YouTube Music Awards in 2013, wearing an Yves Saint Laurent black leather shirt and horrifying grills. Azealia Banks’ bizarre mouth-and-teeth eyes for the glossy cover of her single Yung Rapunxel that same year. Rosalía’s diabolic limbs as part of art direction for her 2022 album Motomami. The South London-native Klein crouching in darkness with white hair and bloodshot eyes for the eerie but stunning cover of her 2019 album Lifetime.

Quaint scenes of animal and human mutilation in the 2019 movie Midsommar. The beautiful women of the 2019 movie Atlantics possessed by spirits of the Senegalese men lost at sea. The already-formidable Till Lindemann glazed in honey for Zoo Magazine in 2015. The zombie-like Rick Genest modeling for Thierry Mugler. Grotesquely distorted, pastel-colored figures by the Japanese-Canadian artist Jesse Kanda on the promo poster for his 2017 exhibition in Tokyo.

There’s no other way to put it—all these images, videos, and scenes are unsettling. At the same time, I don’t think they can be called ugly. Somewhat sinister for sure, but glamorous in their own way as well. They are chic. Unsettling chic.

The obvious question to all this is: why is it happening? de Pressigny, writer for i-D, analyzed aspects of this phenomenon back in 2018 and interviewed Dr. Ruth Adams, a Senior Lecturer in Cultural and Creative Industries at King’s College London, who described the rise of this aesthetic as “[…] clearly a backlash against normative beauty standards, although the amount of labour involved is obviously no less.”

This labor-intensive movement is definitely not unprecedented. In the same article, de Pressigny points out that punks, goths, and emo kids have all rebelled against normative beauty standards as part of their own subcultural geneses, embracing ugly and weird as something to be proud of.

It’s an astute observation, and I would even add that the desire to distort the definitions of beauty and ugliness has been part of our culture for many centuries and decades, going from New York’s nightclubs with the outrageously glamorous Club Kids and the androgynous, extraterrestrial Grace Jones in the 1980s all the way back to 1850s, when the German philosopher Karl Rosenkranz published his seminal book on this topic, Aesthetic of Ugliness.

What I do think is unprecedented is how mainstream this desire has become. When I look back at my formative teenage years, mid to late aughts, celebrities strived for fit, sexy, clean, and pretty. Now we get to see a global pop-star like Billie Eilish go against all these currents and an influential magazine like Vogue feature extreme-beauty artists like Fecal Matter and Salvia. On the surface, this all can be interpreted as the mainstream finally revolting against beauty standards. But I think there is something more profound to it.

As Rosenkranz implies in Aesthetic of Ugliness, associating ugliness with negativity and evil is the society’s default approach. Yet, it is unwarranted. Ugliness stands on its own, it has its own positivity, and I would venture to say—it has its own appeal. And, what I think is happening is that the mainstream is finally finding its own ugliness attractive. That, I believe, is a result of two major changes over the last decade: the rise of “hyper” connection due to social media and the rise of public conversations about mental health.

What I mean by “hyper” connection is that we have accelerated how we connect and learn about each other. With platforms like Instagram and TikTok, it now just takes seconds to see what strangers are doing, what strangers are thinking, and how strangers are feeling. The widely held narrative so far has been that this microscopic surveillance of other people’s lives is toxic and dangerous.

I don’t disagree, but this wormhole created by social media has also allowed us to learn early on that there are other people like us out there. Other people who have the same insecurities. Other people who like the same weird things. Other people who are equally unadjusted. When we learn of others who share that same ugliness, we learn to accept it and we learn to love it.

Another global common denominator in the last decade has been the increasingly more transparent discussion of mental health. Just ten to fifteen years ago, issues like depression and anxiety were not something one could easily bring up in a casual conversation. To some extent, that was because they were dismissed as something frivolous but mostly because they were taboo, associated with the crazy and the unstable.

Today, we talk about them with incisive nuance, from “Big T” trauma and dissociation to major depressive disorder and substance-induced anxiety disorder. We are all starting to see that—what has now already become a catchphrase—it’s okay to not be okay. We all carry pain, we all have something dark and scary within us, and we are all employing strange, probably unhealthy coping mechanisms to survive. The ugliness that got you labeled as crazy and unstable back in the day is now so ordinary that people might think there is something wrong if you don’t have any issues.

Most interestingly, as a result of these major shifts in our cultural landscape, not only are we collectively starting to find our ugliness attractive, but what I see is that we are also creating space to elevate that ugliness. To make it glamorous. To bring in a new aesthetic to the front: the unsettling chic.

As with all cultural movements in the cyclical nature of our history, unsettling chic might fade away eventually. Maybe we transition at some point to a modern-age renaissance, glorifying bionic perfection and settling for nothing less. Maybe we evolve to a highly technologically advanced species and the concept of beauty is no longer in the eye of the beholder; instead, it is a clearly formulated and reproducible artifact of a new science: beauty engineering.

But, at least for now, in this very human world that’s rife with imperfection and unpredictability, one thing is certain—we are all ugly in our own way. And how beautiful is that?

Cover photo of Rick Genest, courtesy of Joey L. Follow him on Instagram as well.

The age of Motomami: How Rosalía challenged my taste

Anyone who follows the mainstream pop culture will agree Rosalía stole the spotlight in 2022. Fans were the first to have their moment. Her spectacular, genre-bending album Motomami dropped in March after much anticipation, climbed on almost every critic’s list of the year’s best albums, and justifiably hit many of the global top music charts.

Haters got their moment as well. Her debut performance on SNL—unconventional for the show but absolutely magnificent—earlier this year was followed by internet hate comments, which I thought were blatantly mean and narrow-minded. One Twitter user described her Marc Jacobs outfit as “[…] brought to you by Bed Bath & Beyond.” I mean, seriously?

Even the Millennials and the Gen Z, and likely even the Gen X, who had no idea who Rosalía was must have seen, at some point this year, a TikTok or Instagram reel featuring her song “Bizcochito”. Once the song became a thing, in a classic meta moment of social media, it became a way for others who didn’t understand why it was a thing to make fun of themselves for not being able to understand why it was a thing.

I absolutely loved everything about her presence this year. Even eight months after it dropped, Motomami is still on repeat in my Spotify feed. I really enjoyed watching the evolution of her unconventional aesthetic on Instagram. And I continue to be amazed by how talented and hard-working yet completely genuine she is. Just watching her interviews is enough to see this.

I guess, on some level, I loved that she stole the spotlight this year because I felt that I understood it. I loved the music. I felt connected to the current culture. I got it. It was therefore only natural when she announced San Francisco as one of her stops on the new global tour that I would be there. I knew the new live show would be unlike anything else I’ve seen before, but I was confident I would love it and rave about it.

On October 4, my friends and I showed up early at the Bill Graham Civic Auditorium to get good spots near the stage. I did not expect that four hours later I would be leaving the concert and thinking: I… didn’t love it?

Rosalía was spectacular as usual, but my feelings about the actual show were mixed. I was confused why she had a “camera motopapi” on the stage and why she sang into the camera instead of the audience for a good chunk of the show. I didn’t understand why the concert felt more like a TikTok reel rather than a real live show. I was annoyed by the fact that almost everyone had their phones up the entire time, even putting up stationary selfie sticks, to record the show. And why did she only have one outfit for the entirety of the two-and-a-half-hour show? Why was there not a little bit more pizazz?

I came back home and concluded that maybe I was actually disappointed. But something felt off about my evaluation. When I don’t like a show, I am vocal about it. I get annoyed that I paid for an expensive ticket to see an artist who doesn’t put an effort to put on a good show. And I never think about the show again.

With Rosalía’s show, it’s all I could think about for the next few days. The concert was not bad, but it felt weird. And not the usual weird, like the type of weird Lady Gaga will put on but it will still be theatrical, meticulous, and high-brow. Rosalía’s show was at the same time theatrical and unassuming, meticulous and chaotic, high-brow and unsophisticated.

For the first time, in all these years of going to concerts and following hot-off-the-press pop culture, I realized that I was doing what I’ve always berated others for doing: sticking to their preferences and not even considering a different point of view. Even though we’re the same age, Rosalía was miles ahead in her perception of what is timely, relevant, and relatable for audiences today. Meanwhile, I was that person, the Millennial falling behind and getting bitter over the fact that things are no longer how they used to be. With that new sense of awareness, I then slowly started to reconstruct my feelings about the show.

Is there a rule that there needs to be a stage with a theatrical performer, carefully curated dancers, and no camera guys? Sure, the show did resemble a TikTok reel but that in itself was art. Rosalía was essentially a content creator for those two and half hours, recording herself sing to us as we all recorded her record herself. After three full years of pandemic-induced focus on our digital selves, how meta is that?

And, who says that a performer needs to have multiple outfits in one show? Sure, she did sport only one look, but that’s exactly what Motomami is about: being minimalist, stripped to the core, with just one but incredibly powerful tool in one’s arsenal: the voice. And with her voice, Rosalía sang and we all felt it.

Sure, people were definitely mounting selfie sticks to record the entire concert, but I had to admit to myself that it was no different from me being “polite” and just slightly raising my phone to record “short snippets” of the show.

The show was certainly a bit of an unnatural experience for me. It challenged me. But that’s what’s so great about Rosalía: she brings together people from all walks of life—from your regular-nightlife club-goers to elitist music connoisseurs—and challenges everyone to be a motomami and a motopapi. To be their genuine selves but to also consider a different point of view.

There was one particular moment in the show that I won’t forget. After finishing “TKN”, Rosalía sat on one of the stage props, as her dancers took turns to dance to a studio mix of Lorna’s famous “Papi Chulo” and probably the even more famous Daddy Yankee’s “Gasolina”. She joined them shortly, dancing and singing “dame más gasolina” along with the audience. The whole scene struck me as unusual because, just a moment ago, we were watching her play the piano and sing about hentai.

Looking back, I now realize what a significant cultural moment that was. In the same night, the Millennial-slash-Gen-Z crowd was going equally ecstatic over a famous 2000s club reggaeton hit and a cute Disney-like song about anime porn. Twenty years ago, in the world in which we existed then, this would not have been a thing. The Daddy Yankee crowd would not have been anywhere near the hentai crowd.

But, in 2022, in the age of Motomami, we live in Rosalía’s world. And in her world, Rosalía challenges us, forcing different crowds to coexist.

And what a great world that is to live in.

Cover photo courtesy of Xavi Torrent. Follow him on Instagram as well.

The legacy of Amy Winehouse

It has been ten years since Amy Winehouse’s death on July 23, 2011. With a decade in absence of one of the world’s most iconic musicians, I think it is important to look back and understand why she made such a big impact on the music industry, and — most importantly — why she became an icon at all.

Few would hesitate to say that Amy Winehouse reshaped the music scene. After her debut album Frank, which went mostly unrecognized by the wider public, she floored the world with her unstereotypical sound and irreverent image once Back to Black reached the ears of listeners across the world. Her jazz-inspired, eclectic range of music paved the way for many British female artists, including today’s mega-stars like Adele, while her visual mix of London’s high-end subculture fashion with humorously crass attitude strongly cemented her anti-mainstream status. For many people, she became a fixation: someone who consistently provided enough material for malignantly scrupulous attention.

Of course, one could say this was because she continuously flooded the media with her tumultuous drug and alcohol abuse, but I wouldn’t say her troubled image was the reason why people cared so much about the personal details of her life. In fact, I always thought that her relentlessly honest and occasionally brusque attitude was probably the real “culprit” behind her worshipped persona.

She was witty, unrefined in speech and manner, and sometimes overly presumptuous, which did not align with an unobjectionable image that a star of her caliber was supposed to portray. This dichotomy made her an icon in the eyes of both the dazed fan base and the gossip-hungry media. Sadly, the majority of the public only wanted to see the widely-publicized image of Amy Winehouse — the troubled and drama-ridden diva who was not able to keep up with the hurdles and frenzy thrown at her by the unforgiving paparazzi. The disheartening reality is that she was never emotionally equipped to be a star. Her purpose always rested in her art.

That is probably the most important notion to remember about Amy Winehouse: that, at heart, she was an artist — a true musician and primarily a splendid lyricist — but not a performer or an entertainer. Her earlier live performances were certainly memorable (especially when her backup vocalists Zalon and Ade became regulars on her tours), but her essence was deeply imprinted in her albums and, most notably, in her songwriting. In that sense, her iconic status was not supposed to be based on her image but rather on her music.

Much of this, however, has already been said in Asif Kapadia’s fantastic 2015 documentary Amy, so it may be more valuable to mention what her music meant to me, a longtime fan of her work. When I first heard her music, which was just around the time “Rehab” started climbing the charts, I was initially drawn to her sound. There weren’t any artists at the time, at least to my knowledge, who were rooted in jazz origins, drawing from the likes of Billie Holiday, Sarah Vaughan, and Donny Hathaway, and who seamlessly incorporated accessibility in their music.

There was something unique, though not necessarily unprecedented, in Amy Winehouse’s music, but it took me a while to realize that it was the surprisingly compatible combination of her highbrow jazz influences and the catchy girl group sound — in addition to her extraordinary vocals — that made her music so distinctive.

Over time, I grew to appreciate the entirety of her work, from the tracks on Frank and Back to Black to the posthumous Lioness: Hidden Treasures, reggae- and ska-inspired covers on her B-sides, as well as some lesser known gems, such as her cover of Lesley Gore’s “It’s My Party” with Quincy Jones.

Even more importantly, I started to value her incredible songwriting. Her lyrics notably changed from Frank to Back to Black, transforming from narrative storytelling to chorus-centered verses, but her ability to write about varying aspects of life, whether it was love, adultery, or simply getting angry over having to share weed, in a highly poetic way remained consistent throughout all her life.

I also appreciated that she portrayed a timeless sense of love in her music. Many artists at the time, and even more so today, recorded songs that centered on denying any traces of love in the search of personal empowerment, resulting in songs that very quickly began to sound worn-out and uninspiring.

Amy Winehouse, on the other hand, wrote songs that told the same story of how much pain she was willing to go through just to sustain her sense of love. Granted, such lyrics conveyed a certain dose of self-inflicted tragedy, but I always thought it was incredibly refreshing and courageous to have a modern female artist who was not afraid to put the entirety of her body and soul in her music.

There are three songs of Amy Winehouse that everyone should listen to at least a few times in their lives to truly appreciate her brilliance. “You Sent Me Flying,” a song from her debut album Frank, shows her masterfully narrating and pitch-perfect singing through a dazzling jazz track, which will surely satisfy every music buff out there.

“Wake Up Alone,” a heartbreaking ballad from Back to Black, showcases some of the most brilliant songwriting I have ever read. It is a heart-stopping poem that captures the unnerving anxiety of loneliness, and will induce empathetic feelings even in those who have not experienced the same feelings on such a profound level.

Finally, “Addicted,” the last song on Back to Black and another example of fantastic songwriting, best displays Amy Winehouse’s entertaining wit as she humorously laments having to share weed with her roommate’s boyfriend, and that, from now on, she’ll “check him at the door, make sure he got green,” and that she will be “tighter than airport security teams.”

These songs succinctly show why she was — and will always remain — an icon: because she was a witty poet who wrote songs that reflected what we all felt and knew, but were often unable to express in words. In many ways, her warm and romantic nature thrived in her songs, and always awaited to be discovered by those who had enough curiosity to find it.

Art or vanity? St. Vincent’s Fear the Future tour

🕒 This article is more than 5 years old (Published Jan 28, 2018).

Annie Clark graced San Francisco last week with her widely-discussed new concert tour, aptly baptized “Fear the Future.” Four years after the Digital Witness tour, which positioned St. Vincent at a peculiar intersection of music, theater, and performance art, there was much to expect from the upcoming album Masseduction and the accompanying tour.

The new record, to me at least, didn’t end up feeling as cohesive as her previous albums, and after hearing mixed reactions to her new glitzy tour, I didn’t know what to expect. On top of that, with Clark’s newly-found spot in the celebrity limelight thanks to her relationship with Cara Delevingne, I wondered: is St. Vincent’s new persona a genuine work of art or is Annie Clark joining the ranks of Dorian Gray? Well, despite my initially lukewarm acceptance of her new record and image, I have to say that the concert was, luckily, nothing short of brilliant.

The first half consisted of Masseduction-ized renditions of songs from previous albums, during which Clark progressively moved across the triangular stage, finally ending at the center, as if she wanted to figuratively portray her growth as an artist during the last decade. Snippets of choreography from the previous tour could easily be seen in “Rattlesnake,” “Birth in Reverse,” and “Digital Witness,” and the self-lacerating tracks from Strange Mercy felt pleasantly unrecognizable with the new subdued production and Clark’s all-pink leather outfit.

Pink screen at Bill Graham Civic Auditorium in San Francisco in January 2018 for St. Vincent's concert.

After a short break following the first set, she returned to the stage, which at that point was subtly redesigned, donning a new outfit and quickly proceeded to play the entirety of Masseduction. There was little—if any at all—difference between the concert and studio versions of the songs, but Clark’s exceptional guitar-playing skills were enough to compensate for this lack of variation.

The second part of the show, however, was probably the reason for the plethora of mixed opinions I heard in the months preceding the show. The austere center-stage podium, flashy background videos (which mostly featured excerpts from her promo videos), and the lack of live band all might have seemed unnecessarily vain. It’s almost hard to imagine that that St. Vincent of the Marry Me and Actor era would ever entertain an auditorium of concertgoers with backing tracks and bizarre promo videos, but in some way, the conceited design of the show worked well—and likely intentionally—with the album’s overt focus on power, sex, and drugs.

Interestingly, I found the new tour invariably more personal and spontaneous than her 2014 Digital Witness tour. Both tours were heavy on choreography and performance art, but Fear the Future show felt familial and not as distant as the one from four years ago. It could be because Tuck and Patti, Clark’s uncle and aunt, opened the show and shared numerous stories about Annie Clark before she became St. Vincent, which created a vastly different atmosphere from the one concocted by Holly Herndon, who opened her previous tour when I saw Clark perform in Boston.

This time, Clark also openly talked to the audience—whether it was sharing political innuendos or satirizing her song “New York”—which was a distinct no-go zone in her previous tour. This is not to say that one was better than the other, but the new tour somehow seemed to be more about Annie Clark and less about St. Vincent.

Altogether, I thought the show was undoubtedly brave and mesmerizing. It takes guts to perform an entire new album after opening the show with ten tracks from previous albums, and Clark certainly staged a captivating performance with an admirable level of confidence. It was also impressive to see another theatrical concert tour that was equally as stunning as—yet so different from—the Digital Witness tour.

Maybe the well-oiled atmosphere won’t suit everyone, but I see no reason to expect a leisurely performance from a musician who has transcended the stereotypical expectations of a solo female artist. Granted, it all might feel a little too self-centered, but who cares? Annie Clark has put a lot of work into her art to deliver some of the most entertaining music today, and if that comes with a little bit of vanity, let her have it.

Cover photo courtesy of Mariana Rodriguez Hakim.

Is there a path to a more sustainable future for our world?

🕒 This essay is more than 5 years old (Published Jan 19, 2017).

Sustainability has become such a buzzword recently. Sustainable practices, sustainable development, sustainable world, green economy, environmentally-friendly business practices, and so on—we hear them everywhere. Obviously, all these concepts are responses to the rapidly-developing industrial world around us, which has now clearly left us in a precarious state, one that is advanced and innovative but brittle and shortsighted.

Is there actually a solution to this? Is there a path to a more sustainable future for our world? Probably, but our society will have to look beyond the typical pop-culture ideas, such as green economy, to understand that, in order to pull ourselves out of this unsustainable industrial state, we have to think about all areas of sustainable development: economy, environment, and employment.

For me, that means we have to first focus on energy and figure out a way to use it for co-optimizing these three pillars of sustainable development. Energy has tremendous potential to spur innovations and lead to economic growth, but also to hurt the environment, as has been shown throughout history. As a result, we are left with a powerful tool that is a double-edged sword and that has to be used effectively and responsibly.

I also think it’s necessary to create meaningful and rewarding employment opportunities because technological innovations will not have any significant effect if working conditions remain the same—unpredictable, insecure, and largely underpaid.

The reason I think we need to focus on these two solutions is because they tend to be more realistic than what we often hear from scholars and policy-makers. This is not to say these brilliant minds are wrong, but simply that we can still look beyond those proposals and determine what is actually doable.

So, let’s start with what they all have said so far.

Quick summary of what others have said about creating sustainable future

Many of those who advocate for transforming the unsustainable industrial state refer to green economy, a term that has undoubtedly become a buzz word in the realm of efforts devoted to sustainability. While it is true that the mainstream use of the term primarily refers to economic growth with positive environmental effects, scholars like Borel-Saladin and Turok have pointed out that green economy also serves to have a social impact, such as alleviating poverty.

Examples of such policies within the realm of green economy include providing sanitation the poor, or introduction of solar power to replace coal and generate jobs for solar manufacturers and technicians. Recommendations of broader scope for interventions necessary in green economy range from education and innovation to infrastructure and close involvement of government.

Others see green economy as a tool that is closely related to local communities, rather than large-scale systems. For instance, Jackson and Victor argue that we need to “use as little as possible in way of materials and energy,” arguing that local infrastructure and resources are paramount for achieving green economy, and that financing community-based energy is essential for green economy because most renewable sources and materials are local. They see enterprises as central agents of developing green economy through local communities, but that state actors can help this process by serving as catalysts, similarly to Borel-Saladin and Turok’s propositions.

For some, green economy is not an end goal, but rather a stepping stone to a society that sees sustainable development as means for more responsible consumption. Lorek and Spangenberg propose strong sustainable consumption strategy, which would force us to rethink how we perceive mainstream propositions of sustainable consumption, or as they call them, practices of “weak sustainable consumption.”

So, for example, instead of understanding ‘green supply chains’ as supply chains in which firms force their suppliers to disclose environmental standards, global firms should ensure that there exists a “standardized information flow along the product chain about ecological backpacks as well as social standards in the companies.”

Interestingly, the authors also advocate for precautionary principle, which suggests that radical innovations should be implemented with no expectations of them eventually coming to life, so that society can be prepared in case of their non-appearance. Either way, they agree with the previously-mentioned authors in that significant structural changes in the society and people’s way of thinking are necessary for transforming the industrial state.

While green economy implies economic growth, some authors argue that degrowth movement is necessary to achieve such transformation. Kallis, a proponent of such ideas, claims that, even though degrowth is essentially negating the mainstream concept of ‘growth,’ it is necessary to reduce society’s throughput to move toward sustainable development, even if that implies reduced GDP.

Additionally, Kallis shows that significant reformations are necessary; in fact, he argues that movement of degrowth is in accordance with model of revolutionary social change, and that as a society, we need a new political project, rather than new environmental policies in order to avoid a crisis.

Beyond the concept of green economy, some environmentalists are also proponents of more specific policies, such as reducing work hours because they think such policy can secure employment without growth and reduce consumption in the long run (Ashford and Kallis, 2013, p. 53). However, it is also clear that policies like these are not bulletproof and that they need to be accompanied by more systemic changes, such as those in taxation, accompanied by increasing working and poor people’s access to capital.

What can we learn from all these experts on sustainable growth? It boils down to—each of these policies should not be delivered in isolation; they need to be complemented by large-scale changes of the society, from more palpable aspects such as energy, infrastructure, and government, to less palpable ones such as people’s mindsets. The implicit argument in all these publications is that such radical changes are not easy or practical to achieve.

Let’s break down why.

Why policies of sustainable growth are harder than they sound

It’s important to think about the ways these policies will actually affect our society and whether they are necessarily practical.

Starting from the concept of green economy, while it is true that such approach might lead to improved environmental performance and possibly positive employment effects, one needs to consider several drawbacks. For instance, valuing ecosystem goods and services is difficult, market imperfections are serious constraints (e.g. price signals are not credible and predictable), and there are inadequate financing tools for up-front investment in green technology.

Referring again to Borel-Saladin and Turok’s analysis, even though the authors of the paper are aware of some drawbacks in “greening” the economy, it also seems that some of their suggestions lack more in-depth analysis. I mentioned earlier that one of their propositions for greening the economy is to introduce solar power instead of coal, which would generate employment opportunities for solar manufacturers and technicians.

However, this sort of ‘replacement’ innovation will also displace jobs of those who were trained to work in traditional industries, as was suggested by other scholars (Edquist et al., 2001, p. 120). Put differently, even these well-intentioned policies can have serious repercussions if they are not inspected with attention.

Similarly, when Jackson and Victor propose that green economy can be achieved by placing faith on local communities, it is important to understand that this is not always practical or easy to achieve.

They claim, for instance, that “the seeds for this new economy already exist in local, community-based social enterprise: community energy projects, local farmer’s markets, slow food cooperatives, sports clubs, libraries, community health and fitness centres, local repair and maintenance services, craft workshops, writing centres, outdoor pursuits, music and drama, yoga, martial arts, meditation, hairdressing, gardening, the restoration of parks and open spaces”.

Admittedly, the authors are aware that local communities cannot carry the entire burden of green economy, and they support these claims by arguing that governments need to be extensively involved in the process, but we need to discuss what a realistic potential of local communities in developed versus developing countries would look like.

Particularly, the authors argue that people enjoy and harbor greater fulfillment from the previously-mentioned activities than they do by spending time in “materialistic, supermarket economy in which much of [their] lives is spent.” Certainly, this can be true, but I doubt that their ideas would be implemented in developed and developing countries with equal effectiveness.

In most of developing countries, where there is already a stronger sense of community between people, the seeds of “new economy,” as Jackson and Victor call it, will be easier to sow because the mentality of people in developing countries is more likely to be complementary to the authors’ vision of community-centered economy.

Of course, I am not arguing that such transitions will not be possible in developed countries, like the United States, but they will require intensive adjustments of people’s mindsets. Those who are accustomed to supermarket-driven overconsumption and the “more is more” mentality will need to go through more significant adjustments if they are to be convinced that downscaling to community-sized economies is a satisfying outcome. This line of thought circles back to suggestions of authors like Lorek and Spangenberg, who argue that radical disruptions of societal systems are necessary if we want to implement these policies.

If these ideas seem unpractical or hard to implement within a reasonable timeframe, it might be tempting to think that Kallis’ pro-degrowth suggestions are feasible. Certainly, it makes sense to decouple development from growth given that many issues within the current industrial state have been engendered by overconsumption and materialistic desire to always have more. However, even though Kallis doesn’t explicitly state his preference for drastic strategies, such as “exit from the economy,” it does seem that he is calling for a major overhaul of capitalism by strongly arguing for degrowth movement.

Is that even practical? I don’t doubt that his approach of degrowth would mend the currently existing fractures within the society, but I would say it’s more practical to think about the ways that growth—through tools such as energy—can be used to co-optimize the three pillars of sustainable development. This would contradict the idea of radical changes previously mentioned, but I would say it might be more feasible more because overhauling capitalism via degrowth could easily result in a major fiasco.

I also briefly mentioned earlier some of the discussions that have been happening around the reduction of weekly working hours. Instituting a shorter workweek is not guaranteed to have a positive impact on employment and the environment in all contexts. As Ashford and Kallis argue, it is more beneficial to reduce the workweek to four days without changes in weekly wages (thus increasing hourly wages), otherwise the underlying implication would be that workers’ wages are sacrificed for the sake of environment.

Second, even though it seems that shorter workweek might decrease consumption as people would spend more time at home, thus performing leisure activities, it is also possible that leisure would lead to other forms of consumption. That is, the effects of a reduced workweek are strictly positive only if we assume that workers will spend their free time in an environmentally-friendly way. A bold assumption, in my opinion.

When all is said and (un)done, then what are we even left with? Is there a way forward?

Ways to transform the unsustainable industrial state

Comparing all the proposed arguments, it seems as if there is no substantial solution for transforming the unsustainable industrial state.

On the one hand, some scholars think that specific policies, such as greening the economy, opting for degrowth, or reducing the workweek, will be sufficient to provide foundations for sustainable development. On the other hand, other scholars argue that isolated policies are not enough and the we need more radical transformations in order to achieve these goals.

Such significant changes, at the same time, require time and unprecedented effort that it seems more practical to rely on a carefully chosen set of specific policies. It certainly seems like a vicious circle, but I think we can achieve a middle ground by:

  • focusing on effective use of energy and
  • creating meaningful and rewarding employment

These two approaches can provide specific suggestions that could introduce significant changes and begin to drive the reformation of the industrial state.

Energy as a tool for co-optimizing the three pillars of sustainable development

Throughout this analysis, I hope it has become clear that, among the commonly mentioned topics such as innovation and government intervention, energy plays a key role in thinking about sustainable development. It has been a central factor in spurring innovations in the past, so it seems more than fitting to re-orient the discussion of sustainable development to energy and its use in the near future.

Most importantly, the paradoxical implications of energy use, which is that it can positively impact economic growth and negatively affect environmental conditions, leads to an important question—how can energy be used to have positive impacts on all three pillars of sustainable development: economy, environment, and employment? The answer will vary slightly between developed and developing countries, but in both cases, innovation, as well as sustainable production and consumption, are essential for effective use of energy.

Innovation of safer products and processes can greatly impact how energy is used, but one must understand that not all innovations will have positive impacts on all three pillars of sustainable development. As scholars have shown previously, even if we assume that product and process innovations will be environmentally safer and beneficial to the economy, they do not always have a positive impact on employment.

Particularly, product innovations generate employment if they do not substitute old products and if they do not become process innovations in the long run, while process innovations generally reduce number of jobs, even if they increase other aspects of employment, such as productivity. If one thinks about the ways these implications affect potential use of energy for co-optimizing all three pillars of sustainable development, it becomes clear that some compromise is necessary.

For instance, Borel-Saladin and Turok have used example of solar power replacing coal, which would not only be an environmentally friendlier use of energy for advancing economy, but would also generate employment for solar manufacturers and technicians. This is a great example for applying the analysis proposed by Edquist et al. because it represents, essentially, both a product and process innovation.

Certainly, by substituting coal with solar power, new employment opportunities will arise for workers such as solar manufacturers and technicians as the markets will require knowledge and skills for new types of products, but as the new technologies will be accompanied by new processes, it is important to think about what will happen to those workers who have been trained to work in industries with coal.

If this substitution happens with no complementary adjustments, the workers who cannot keep up with new products and processes are likely to lose jobs as more traditional industries are displaced. The popularized idea that coal workers will simply “adjust” and learn new skills is a very rosy view of the world—we need to be more empathetic to those who will experience that change.

This means that energy-based innovations should be complemented with education and training of those who are employed by industries that are going to become displaced by rising innovations. Of course, adjustments like these would require a substantial reformation of some societies (e.g. high-quality education should be accessible to everyone), but it is paramount that innovations do not lead to massive creation of jobs that require highly specialized skills, only attainable by those who have the means to acquire them.

Referring again to the analysis of Edquist et al., I doubt that it’s realistic for institutions, such as the government, to encourage only those types of product innovations that do not substitute older products, which is why it is important to make a compromise when less beneficial energy-oriented product and process innovations occur. In that sense, governments should encourage innovations that are complemented by education and training of those workers who have been trained in more traditional industries. This way, innovative use of energy would advance the economy in an environmentally friendly way while ensuring that jobs are not lost in the process.

Sustainable production and consumption are also necessary if energy is to be used responsibly for transforming the industrial state. In addition to moving to cleaner and safer technologies and processes, it is important that less energy is used in production and provision of products and services that require less energy in their operation and use. Although it might seem unclear how this can co-optimize the three pillars of sustainable development, sustainable production and consumption ensures that economy can advance (as consumption will decrease) in an environmentally friendly way (less energy is used), while increasing long-term security for workers due to a positive feedback loop promoted by advancing economy, resulting from more responsible production and consumption.

These ideas should be implemented in both developed and developing countries, but in countries like China and India, there needs to be a greater compromise when thinking about the repercussions of improper energy use. As Lorek and Spangenberg have noted in their paper, these countries are justifying their growing emissions by claiming that their ever-growing populations cannot be complemented with reduced environmental impact. The authors do not agree with this notion, and instead suggest that the right to growth, and therefore increased emissions, should not be granted to any country, but to groups of people in poverty.

For effective and responsible use of energy, this means that, as a society, we might have to compromise and allow high-poverty areas to temporarily use forms of energy that might lead to negative environmental effects, which would not co-optimize the three pillars of sustainable development. While this might not be the most ideal way of transforming the industrial state, it might be more practical until governments can redistribute wealth from affluent to high-poverty areas, allowing them to also institute energy-oriented innovations.

Meaningful and rewarding work opportunities as tools for ensuring workers’ enduring satisfaction

These innovations will not have a significant impact if the new employment opportunities continue the same trend of unrewarding and underpaid jobs that are harrowing many of today’s workers. Solutions, such as financial compensations above the minimum wage, seem clear and unambiguous, but it can be hard to assess what “meaningful” job opportunities mean.

Meaningful work implies at least some sort of personal fulfillment; that is, while it is unrealistic to expect that all workers will do what they love, it is important that workers can perceive their contribution to the society as significant. One way to achieve this is to offer product services wherever and whenever possible.

Using the example of solar power again, one can imagine a hypothetical future scenario in which solar power systems can be purchased by consumers for delivery and do-it-yourself assembly system, which would help companies cut costs by not employing technicians who would help assemble such power systems.

This line of thought would follow the widespread, profit-maximizing mentality of the today’s world—just think of IKEA—but if we are to transform the industrial state, the companies should orient their business model toward sustainability and employ technicians instead of allowing consumers to assemble these systems on their own. Even if the consumers are capable of doing so.

First, while this approach might increase labor costs for the company, it would generate job opportunities for workers who are trained as technicians. Second, this approach would generate meaningful work for technicians as they would be able to apply their hands-on skills and customize the solar power systems per customers’ desires, which might not be necessarily possible in a simplified, do-it-yourself system. In turn, this would provide the workers with a sense of nontrivial impact, which is, I would argue, the basis of meaningful work.

Bringing it all together

My main argument here is that no policy or suggestion can be a guaranteed solution for transforming the unsustainable industrial state. Even though some propositions might seem effective, if they are implemented in isolation or without in-depth, pre-emptive analysis, they might engender unwanted consequences.

Likewise, calls for radical transformations of society are theoretically more effective, but it is not always clear whether they can be achieved within a reasonable timeframe. Despite this odd conundrum, we can start to transform the industrial state by focusing on two areas: using energy to co-optimize the three pillars of sustainable development and creating meaningful, rewarding work opportunities.

They might not be courageous or radical ideas, but I would think they are at least somewhat more practical.

References

  1. Ashford, N. A., and Hall, R. P. (2011). “Technology, Globalization, and Sustainable Development: Transforming the Industrial State.“ Yale University Press

  1. Ashford, N. A. and Kallis, G. (2013). “A Four-Day Workweek”, European Financial Review

  1. Borel-Saladin, J.M. and Turok, I. N. (2013). “The Green Economy: Incremental Change or Transformation?” Environmental Policy and Governance

  1. Edquist, C., Hommen L., and McKelvey M. (2001), “Innovation and Employment: Process versus Product Innovation” Edward Elgar Publishing

  1. Jackson, T. and Victor, P. (2013). “Green Economy and Community Scale,” Metcalf Foundation November

  1. Kallis, G. (2011) “In Defence of Degrowth” Ecological Economics

  1. Lorek, S. and Spangenberg, J. (2014) “Sustainable Consumption Within a Sustainable Economy: Beyond Green Growth and Green Economics,” Journal of Cleaner Production